The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Valladolid 45.6%
Draw 28.7%
Estrela da Amadora 25.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.6%
27%
24.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
24.5%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Valladolid - Estrela da Amadora Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Aceves A. (G) 12. Alani I. 19. Arnuncio A. 7. Canos S. 20. Chuki 23. Jaouab M. 6. Lachuer M. 16. Maroto M. 8. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 5. Sanchez J. 2. Trilli
40. Ribeiro R. (G) 14. Bernardo Schappo 27. Fuhrer P. 11. Jovane 98. Kikas 30. Luan Patrick 99. Marcus A. 21. Montoia G. 19. Moreira P. 63. Sola A. 10. Stoica I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
29', 1 - 0, Canos S. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Sanchez J. ⚽,
41', 2 - 1, Stoica I. ⚽,
41', Meseguer Cavas V. A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Semeu 🟨,
61', 🟨,
61', Jovane ↓, Antonetti L. ↑,
63', Meseguer Cavas V. A. ↓, Ponceau J. ↑,
63', Arnuncio A. ↓, Dominguez M. ↑,
67', Jaouab M. 🟨,
70', Chuki ↓, Peter Federico ↑,
70', Canos S. ↓, Biuk S. ↑,
71', Marcus A. 🟨,
73', 2 - 2, Antonetti L. ⚽,
73', Marcus A. ↓, Gastao J. ↑,
73', Bernardo Schappo ↓, Otavio ↑,
77', Lachuer M. ↓, Marcos Andre ↑,
77', Alani I. ↓, Juric S. ↑,
77', Jaouab M. ↓, Torres D. ↑,
77', Maroto M. ↓, Bueno G. ↑,
82', Montoia G. 🟨,
86', Meireles J. 🟨,
Preview
In recent matches, Valladolid has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Estrela's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Estrela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Valladolid is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.