Match Info

Date: 17 April 2021, Saturday


	Hull City		Fleetwood Town

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.8	6.5
	1.57	3.8	6
	1.54	3.95	6.7
	1.56	3.65	6
	1.58	3.89	6.71
	1.53	3.6	6.5
	1.62	3.98	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.57)	3.81 ↓ (3.85)	6.4 ↑ (6.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hull City
60.4%

Draw
24.8%

Fleetwood Town
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

24.5%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

14.2%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Hull City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (-25.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hull City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fleetwood Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	8%	12%

Hull City - Fleetwood Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Hull City will win (20 of 25 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.32% – 95.68%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Championship and 13).

Hull has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very good chance of promoted (97%), has a good chance of win league (59%).

Fleetwood has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Hull is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Fleetwood is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Fleetwood have a series of home games.

In this match Hull is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hull won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Hull won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hull City
English League One
10.04.21	Plymouth Argyle - Hull City	0:3 ✺
05.04.21	Hull City - Northampton Town	3:0 ✺
02.04.21	Crewe Alexandra - Hull City	1:2 ✺
27.03.21	Hull City - Gillingham	1:1 ✺
20.03.21	Shrewsbury Town - Hull City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWTT
- Fleetwood Town
English League One
10.04.21	Fleetwood Town - Rochdale	1:0 ✺
05.04.21	AFC Wimbledon - Fleetwood Town	0:1 ✺
02.04.21	Fleetwood Town - Peterborough United	0:1 ✺
20.03.21	Fleetwood Town - Swindon Town	0:2 ✺
16.03.21	Fleetwood Town - Ipswich Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
12.01.21	Hull City - Fleetwood Town	3:2
English FA Cup
07.11.20	Hull City - Fleetwood Town	2:0
English League One
09.10.20	Fleetwood Town - Hull City	4:1

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