Match Info

Date: 27 March 2021, Saturday


	Hull City		Gillingham

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.6	5
	1.75	3.4	5
	1.75	3.65	4.85
	1.74	3.45	4.7
	1.75	3.64	5.24
	1.75	3.3	4.8
	1.77	3.6	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.76)	3.52 ↓ (3.62)	4.97 ↑ (4.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hull City
54.1%

Draw
26.9%

Gillingham
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

26.1%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

16.2%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hull City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (-20.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hull City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gillingham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64%	8%	28%

Hull City - Gillingham Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Hull will win (votes: 16 - 64%). Gillingham will win (votes: 7 - 28%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hull: 45.2% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Hull has not chance of relegated, has a small chance of prom. playoffs (14%), has a good chance of promoted (91%), has a good chance of win league (58%).

Gillingham has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Hull in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gillingham is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hull could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hull is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Hull to win the game is with odds 1.75.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hull won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hull City
English League One
20.03.21	Shrewsbury Town - Hull City	1:1 ✺
13.03.21	Hull City - Oxford United	2:0 ✺
09.03.21	Peterborough United - Hull City	1:3 ✺
06.03.21	Hull City - Bristol Rovers	2:0 ✺
02.03.21	Hull City - Rochdale	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWWWW
- Gillingham FC
English League One
20.03.21	Gillingham - Doncaster Rovers	2:2 ✺
16.03.21	Lincoln City - Gillingham	0:3 ✺
13.03.21	Swindon Town - Gillingham	1:3 ✺
09.03.21	Fleetwood Town - Gillingham	1:0 ✺
06.03.21	Gillingham - Ipswich Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
12.09.20	Gillingham - Hull City	0:2

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