Match Info

Date: 5 April 2021, Monday


	Hull City		Northampton Town

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	7.5
	1.53	3.9	6.25
	1.55	3.9	6.75
	1.51	3.8	6.4
	1.54	3.96	7.43
	1.5	3.7	7
	1.56	3.94	7.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.56)	3.89 ↑ (3.84)	7 ↑ (6.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hull City
62.1%

Draw
24.4%

Northampton Town
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

24.6%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.5%

20%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hull City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hull City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.4%	9.7%	12.9%

Hull City - Northampton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Hull will win (votes: 24 - 77.4%). Northampton will win (votes: 4 - 12.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hull: 62.7% – 92.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Championship and 19).

Hull has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (28%), has a good chance of promoted (83%), has a chance of win league (36%).

Northampton has a good chance of relegated (60%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Hull is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Northampton is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Northampton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hull is indisputable favorite.

In this match Hull is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hull won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hull City
English League One
02.04.21	Crewe Alexandra - Hull City	1:2 ✺
27.03.21	Hull City - Gillingham	1:1 ✺
20.03.21	Shrewsbury Town - Hull City	1:1 ✺
13.03.21	Hull City - Oxford United	2:0 ✺
09.03.21	Peterborough United - Hull City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTTWW
- Northampton Town
English League One
02.04.21	Northampton Town - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
27.03.21	AFC Wimbledon - Northampton Town	1:0 ✺
23.03.21	Northampton Town - Oxford United	1:0 ✺
20.03.21	Northampton Town - Crewe Alexandra	0:1 ✺
13.03.21	Doncaster Rovers - Northampton Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
26.09.20	Northampton Town - Hull City	0:2

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