Match Info

Date: 2 April 2021, Friday


	Crewe Alexandra		Hull City

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.3	2.2
	3.2	3.3	2.2
	3.4	3.3	2.2
	3.15	3.2	2.22
	3.27	3.37	2.32
	3.2	3.2	2.2
	3.34	3.48	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (3.26)	3.31 ↑ (3.3)	2.23 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crewe Alexandra
29%

Draw
28.6%

Hull City
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

28.7%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

21.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Hull City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crewe Alexandra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hull City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.5%	14.8%	66.7%

Crewe Alexandra - Hull City Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). Hull will win (votes: 18 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hull: 48.9% – 84.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion to Championship).

Crewe has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Hull has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (25%), has a good chance of promoted (85%), has a chance of win league (41%).

Recent matches Crewe is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hull is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Crewe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hull will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Crewe won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crewe Alexandra
English League One
20.03.21	Northampton Town - Crewe Alexandra	0:1 ✺
13.03.21	Crewe Alexandra - Burton Albion	0:3 ✺
09.03.21	Crewe Alexandra - Doncaster Rovers	1:0 ✺
06.03.21	Lincoln City - Crewe Alexandra	3:0 ✺
02.03.21	Blackpool - Crewe Alexandra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWLT
- Hull City
English League One
27.03.21	Hull City - Gillingham	1:1 ✺
20.03.21	Shrewsbury Town - Hull City	1:1 ✺
13.03.21	Hull City - Oxford United	2:0 ✺
09.03.21	Peterborough United - Hull City	1:3 ✺
06.03.21	Hull City - Bristol Rovers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
08.12.20	Hull City - Crewe Alexandra	1:0 penalties
English League One
19.09.20	Hull City - Crewe Alexandra	1:0

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