Match Info

JAMAICA: Premier League - Round 8

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Effortville Community Centre (Clarendon)


	Humble Lions		Arnett Gardens

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.8	1.58
	4.9	3.75	1.59
	4.82	3.9	1.6
	4.88	3.83	1.61	Watch
	4.6	3.8	1.6
	4.82	3.7	1.61
	4.9	3.75	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.76 ↑ (3.86)	3.79 ↑ (3.2)	1.6 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Humble Lions
19.1%

Draw
24%

Arnett Gardens
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

28.6%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

27.9%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Humble Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Arnett Gardens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arnett Gardens's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Humble Lions than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Humble Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arnett Gardens than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arnett Gardens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Humble Lions - Arnett Gardens Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Brown W. ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, Smith S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Clarke C. ↓, Christian J. ↑,
46', Clennon A. ↓, Sharpe R. N. ↑,
59', Arbourine K. ↓, Brown K. ↑,
59', Shepherd J. ↓, Murray N. ↑,
73', Thomas J. ↓, Kelson R. ↑,
74', Bryan K. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
76', Jameison J. 🟨,
78', Brown W. ↓, Allen M. ↑,
79', Brown O. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
86', Allen M. 🟨,
90', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', Kelson R. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Humble Lions
Jamaica National Premier League
27.10.24	Molynes United - Humble Lions	0:1 ✺
20.10.24	Humble Lions - Montego Bay United	0:0 ✺
16.10.24	Chapelton Maroons - Humble Lions	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Humble Lions - Harbour View	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Vere United - Humble Lions	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WTLTT
- Arnett Gardens FC
Jamaica National Premier League
20.10.24	Molynes United - Arnett Gardens	0:3 ✺
16.10.24	Arnett Gardens - Mount Pleasant	1:1 ✺
07.10.24	Montego Bay United - Arnett Gardens	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Arnett Gardens - Racing United	1:1 ✺
Caribbean Club Championship
25.09.24	Real Hope - Arnett Gardens	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
18.03.24	Arnett Gardens - Humble Lions	5:1
17.12.23	Humble Lions - Arnett Gardens	0:2
19.03.23	Humble Lions - Arnett Gardens	1:1
21.12.22	Arnett Gardens - Humble Lions	0:1
18.04.22	Humble Lions - Arnett Gardens	1:1
01.02.22	Arnett Gardens - Humble Lions	2:2
19.01.20	Humble Lions - Arnett Gardens	3:1

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