Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 24

Date: 7 February 2023, Tuesday


	Hungerford Town		St Albans City

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.2	1.85
	3.9	3.25	1.84
	3.85	3.5	1.81
	4.17	3.21	1.89
	4	3.25	1.85
	4.1	3.42	1.86
	3.65	3.35	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (2.81)	3.31 ↑ (3.26)	1.85 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hungerford Town
23.3%

Draw
27.5%

St Albans City
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

27.9%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

28%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hungerford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hungerford Town's form might have worsened.

St Albans City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St Albans City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hungerford Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St Albans City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	13.7%	80.4%

Hungerford Town - St Albans City Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Hungerford will win (votes: 3 - 5.9%). St Albans will win (votes: 41 - 80.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 13.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St Albans: 69.5% – 91.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hungerford won 1.

Hungerford is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches St Albans is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match St Albans is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Hungerford won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Hungerford won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hungerford Town
English National League South
04.02.23	Hungerford Town - Oxford City	1:3 ✺
31.01.23	Hungerford Town - Chelmsford City	1:1 ✺
28.01.23	Hungerford Town - Chippenham Town	1:1 ✺
21.01.23	Eastbourne Borough - Hungerford Town	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
14.01.23	Hungerford Town - Tamworth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTTLW
- St Albans City
English National League South
04.02.23	St Albans City - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:1 ✺
28.01.23	Taunton Town - St Albans City	0:1 ✺
14.01.23	St Albans City - Tonbridge Angels	2:3 ✺
07.01.23	Oxford City - St Albans City	2:1 ✺
01.01.23	St Albans City - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
16.08.22	St Albans City - Hungerford Town	0:0
09.04.22	Hungerford Town - St Albans City	0:2
20.11.21	St Albans City - Hungerford Town	1:3
21.11.20	St Albans City - Hungerford Town	0:0
04.01.20	St Albans City - Hungerford Town	2:2
07.09.19	Hungerford Town - St Albans City	1:2
09.02.19	Hungerford Town - St Albans City	5:0

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