Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 31

Date: 4 February 2023, Saturday


	Hungerford Town		Oxford City

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.5	1.77
	3.95	3.5	1.75
	3.2	3.3	1.98
	3.92	3.6	1.83
	3.25	3.25	2.05
	3.78	3.66	1.86
	3.5	3.55	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (3.24)	3.48 ↑ (3.29)	1.87 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hungerford Town
25.2%

Draw
26.2%

Oxford City
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

27.6%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

27.5%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hungerford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Hungerford Town - Oxford City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hungerford won 0.

Oxford City is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hungerford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Oxford City will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Hungerford won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 16-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Hungerford won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hungerford Town
English National League South
31.01.23	Hungerford Town - Chelmsford City	1:1 ✺
28.01.23	Hungerford Town - Chippenham Town	1:1 ✺
21.01.23	Eastbourne Borough - Hungerford Town	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
14.01.23	Hungerford Town - Tamworth	2:1 ✺
English National League South
07.01.23	Hungerford Town - Dover Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTLWW
- Oxford City
English National League South
28.01.23	Oxford City - Weymouth	3:1 ✺
21.01.23	Concord Rangers - Oxford City	1:2 ✺
14.01.23	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Oxford City	1:1 ✺
07.01.23	Oxford City - St Albans City	2:1 ✺
01.01.23	Slough Town - Oxford City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
01.11.22	Oxford City - Hungerford Town	2:0
15.04.22	Oxford City - Hungerford Town	1:0
04.12.21	Hungerford Town - Oxford City	0:1
09.02.21	Oxford City - Hungerford Town	4:0
01.12.20	Hungerford Town - Oxford City	1:4
01.01.20	Hungerford Town - Oxford City	1:2
26.12.19	Oxford City - Hungerford Town	3:2

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