Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 13

Date: 31 January 2023, Tuesday


	Hungerford Town		Chelmsford City

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	1.85
	3.75	3.25	1.87
	3.6	3.4	1.9
	3.39	3.67	1.98
	3.75	3.4	1.85
	3.88	3.78	1.81
	3.6	3.4	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (2.83)	3.47 ↑ (3.19)	1.88 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hungerford Town
25.1%

Draw
26.3%

Chelmsford City
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

28.4%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

28.4%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hungerford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hungerford Town's form might have worsened.

Chelmsford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chelmsford City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hungerford Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chelmsford City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hungerford Town - Chelmsford City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Postponed due to FA Cup.

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hungerford won 3.

Hungerford is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chelmsford in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hungerford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Chelmsford will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Hungerford won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Hungerford won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hungerford Town
English National League South
28.01.23	Hungerford Town - Chippenham Town	1:1 ✺
21.01.23	Eastbourne Borough - Hungerford Town	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
14.01.23	Hungerford Town - Tamworth	2:1 ✺
English National League South
07.01.23	Hungerford Town - Dover Athletic	1:0 ✺
01.01.23	Farnborough - Hungerford Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLWWL
- Chelmsford City
English National League South
28.01.23	Chelmsford City - Welling United	0:1 ✺
21.01.23	Weymouth - Chelmsford City	1:2 ✺
17.01.23	Ebbsfleet United - Chelmsford City	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
14.01.23	York City - Chelmsford City	2:1 pen. ✺
English National League South
07.01.23	Chelmsford City - Chippenham Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
26.03.22	Chelmsford City - Hungerford Town	0:2
22.01.22	Hungerford Town - Chelmsford City	2:1
25.01.20	Hungerford Town - Chelmsford City	1:0
07.12.19	Chelmsford City - Hungerford Town	4:1
English FA Trophy
23.11.19	Chelmsford City - Hungerford Town	2:1
English National League South
02.02.19	Chelmsford City - Hungerford Town	4:1
11.08.18	Hungerford Town - Chelmsford City	0:6

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