Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 21

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday


	Hemel Hempstead Town		Weymouth

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.25	2.45
	2.55	3.5	2.5
	2.62	3.69	2.42
	2.6	3.65	2.46
	2.5	3.25	2.62
	2.62	3.35	2.44
	2.55	3.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.41)	3.46 ↑ (3.25)	2.48 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hemel Hempstead Town
36.1%

Draw
26.7%

Weymouth
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

28.5%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

28%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hemel Hempstead Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Weymouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Hemel Hempstead Town - Weymouth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Barzey B. ⚽,
52', 2 - 0, Barzey B. ⚽,
73', 3 - 0, Adenola S. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 17 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hemel Hempstead won 2.

Hemel Hempstead has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Weymouth is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Weymouth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Hemel Hempstead won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17:12 (average 1.7:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Hemel Hempstead won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.5:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Hemel Hempstead Town - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.37%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
30.11.24	Salisbury - Hemel Hempstead Town	5:0 ✺
25.11.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Dorking Wanderers	1:7 ✺
23.11.24	Tonbridge Angels - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Aveley - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1 ✺
English National League South
11.11.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Weston-super-Mare	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Weymouth
English FA Trophy
10.12.24	Yeovil Town - Weymouth	1:2 ✺
English National League South
30.11.24	Weymouth - Tonbridge Angels	0:1 ✺
26.11.24	Weymouth - Truro City	1:4 ✺
23.11.24	Hornchurch - Weymouth	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Weston-super-Mare - Weymouth	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
17.08.24	Weymouth - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:2
03.02.24	Weymouth - Hemel Hempstead Town	4:3
19.08.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Weymouth	1:2
11.02.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Weymouth	2:1
03.09.22	Weymouth - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:0
28.01.20	Hemel Hempstead Town - Weymouth	0:1
English FA Trophy
28.11.15	Hemel Hempstead Town - Weymouth	1:0

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