Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 29

Date: 28 January 2025, Tuesday


	St Albans City		Tonbridge Angels

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	2.95
	2.25	3.3	3	Watch
	2.25	3.33	3.1
	2.26	3.36	3.09	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.1
	2.21	3.28	3.08
	2.25	3.3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.57)	3.29 ↑ (3.28)	3.05 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Albans City
41.6%

Draw
28.1%

Tonbridge Angels
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

28%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

27.5%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Albans City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St Albans City's performance.

Tonbridge Angels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tonbridge Angels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St Albans City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tonbridge Angels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

St Albans City - Tonbridge Angels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Bendle A. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 1 - 1, Hutchinson D. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches St Albans won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

St Albans could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Tonbridge have a series of home games.

St Albans will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches St Albans won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20:18 (average 1.7:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams St Albans won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:11 (average 2.5:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Albans City
English National League South
25.01.25	Salisbury - St Albans City	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	St Albans City - Torquay United	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Weston-super-Mare - St Albans City	0:0 ✺
04.01.25	Eastbourne Borough - St Albans City	1:0 ✺
01.01.25	St Albans City - Enfield Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TTTLW
- Tonbridge Angels
English National League South
25.01.25	Tonbridge Angels - Slough Town	3:1 ✺
18.01.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Tonbridge Angels	2:0 ✺
14.01.25	Tonbridge Angels - Eastbourne Borough	0:2 ✺
11.01.25	Tonbridge Angels - Chippenham Town	1:1 ✺
04.01.25	Tonbridge Angels - Weston-super-Mare	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
03.09.24	Tonbridge Angels - St Albans City	2:0
20.04.24	Tonbridge Angels - St Albans City	2:2
11.11.23	St Albans City - Tonbridge Angels	2:3
14.01.23	St Albans City - Tonbridge Angels	2:3
29.08.22	Tonbridge Angels - St Albans City	1:2
07.05.22	St Albans City - Tonbridge Angels	2:3
30.11.21	Tonbridge Angels - St Albans City	0:0

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