Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 23 March 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Tomás Adolfo Duco (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Tello F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Huracán Buenos Aires		Barracas Central

	1	X	2
	1.86	2.85	5.25	Watch
	1.77	3	5.5
	1.95	2.92	4.85	Watch
	1.93	3.01	5.36
	1.83	3.08	5.49
	1.91	2.8	4.8
	1.88	2.91	5.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.78)	2.94 ↓ (3)	5.21 ↓ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huracán Buenos Aires
50%

Draw
31.9%

Barracas Central
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

30.7%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

30.2%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huracán Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Barracas Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Huracán Buenos Aires - Barracas Central Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Huracán will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Barracas Central will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Huracán: 50.8% – 88.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Huracán (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Barracas Central (5.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Huracán (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Barracas Central (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Meza S. (G) 34. Campo I. 6. Pereyra F. (C) 35. Palazzo M. 25. Ibanez C. 8. Gil L. 15. Waller Martiarena F. F. 2. Blondel L. 10. Romero O. 23. Peralta T. 18. Gimenez L.	30. Mino M. (G) 2. Capraro N. 32. Tobio F. 31. Demartini N. 4. Martinez D. 8. Porra T. 5. Miloc D. 10. Tapia I. (C) 6. Insua R. 7. Bruera F. 20. Candia J.
Substitutes
17. Bisanz J. 7. Cortes O. 27. Duran N. (G) 52. Kalinger F. 19. Lescano L. 14. Martinez A. 21. Nervo H. 20. Ojeda E. 30. Paz N. 11. Ramirez E. 26. Sequeira L. 4. Vera F.	13. Barrios R. 11. Briasco N. 37. Campi G. 18. Duarte M. 1. Espinola J. (G) 21. Gamba L. 25. Gordillo Y. 16. Guaraz I. A. 14. Jappert K. 33. Maroni G. 9. Morales G. 15. Rak Y.
Coaches
Martinez D.	Insua R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Blondel L. 🟨,
45', Insua R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Porra T. ↓, Maroni G. ↑,
56', Romero O. ↓, Cortes O. ↑,
62', Peralta T. 🟨,
64', Candia J. ↓, Gamba L. ↑,
69', Campo I. ↓, Sequeira L. ↑,
78', Peralta T. ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
78', Gimenez L. ↓, Ramirez E. ↑,
82', Martinez D. ↓, Jappert K. ↑,
83', Bruera F. ↓, Morales G. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huracán won 1.

In recent matches, Huracán has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Barracas Central is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Huracán is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Huracán: Caicedo J. (Yellow Cards) Cortes O. (Inactive) Rios M. (Ankle Injury) Vera F. (Inactive) Zabala D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Barracas Central: Mino M. (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Huracán won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 0.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Huracán won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Huracán Buenos Aires
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.03.26	Aldosivi - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
12.03.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - River Plate	1:2 ✺
03.03.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - Belgrano	3:1 ✺
26.02.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Deportivo Riestra - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLWLT
- Barracas Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.03.26	Barracas Central - Atlético Tucumán	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Barracas Central	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Argentinos Juniors - Barracas Central	1:1 ✺
25.02.26	Barracas Central - Tigre	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Platense - Barracas Central	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.11.25	Barracas Central - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:1
03.05.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Barracas Central	0:1
04.06.24	Barracas Central - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
17.03.24	Barracas Central - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:0
30.10.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - Barracas Central	0:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.02.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - Barracas Central	2:0
13.09.22	Huracán Buenos Aires - Barracas Central	1:1

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