Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 6

Date: 27 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Tomás Adolfo Duco (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Vargas G. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, DSports 1, ESPN
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Belarus	Okko Sport
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	Tigo Sports+
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Portugal	Sport TV4
South-america	DGO Latin America
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter


	Huracán Buenos Aires		Corinthians

	1	X	2
	3.6	3	2.25	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.45
	3.6	2.95	2.2	Watch
	3.67	2.98	2.25
	3.65	2.94	2.3
	3.1	2.8	2.4	Watch
	3.62	2.88	2.29	Watch
	3.7	2.8	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.62)	2.91 ↓ (3.12)	2.29 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huracán Buenos Aires
26.8%

Draw
32.3%

Corinthians
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

30%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

30.2%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huracán Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Huracán Buenos Aires's form might have worsened.

Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Corinthians's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Huracán Buenos Aires, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Corinthians, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	37.5%	50%

Huracán Buenos Aires - Corinthians Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Corinthians (1.55) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Meza S. (G) 29. De La Fuente H. 6. Pereyra F. 2. Goitea N. 19. Lescano L. 23. Cantillo V. 5. Perez L. 16. Cabral R. 21. Watson F. N. 17. Alanis G. 26. Sequeira L.	1. Hugo Souza (G) 26. Angileri F. 3. Torres F. 25. Caca 5. Andre Ramalho 70. Martinez J. 19. Carrillo A. 27. Breno Bidon 14. Raniele 10. Depay M. 11. Angel Romero
Substitutes
9. Abila R. 3. Carrizo L. 1. Galindez H. (G) 8. Gil L. 24. Guidara T. 10. Mazzantti W. 18. Miljevic M. 33. Moya S. 20. Ojeda E. 31. Pellegrino M. 7. Tissera M. 11. Urzi A.	35. Charles Rigon 8. Garro R. 22. Hernandez H. 46. Hugo 77. Igor Coronado 47. Joao Pedro 21. Matheus Bidu 32. Matheus Donelli (G) 2. Matheuzinho 7. Maycon 37. Ryan 43. Talles Magno
Coaches
Kudelka F.	Dorival Junior

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Cantillo V. 🟨,
20', Caca 🟨,
23', Cantillo V. ↓, Carrizo L. ↑,
35', Perez L. 🟨,
41', Carrillo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Martinez J. ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
46', Perez L. ↓, Ojeda E. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Watson F. N. ⚽, De La Fuente H. (A),
57', Angel Romero ↓, Garro R. ↑,
57', Torres F. ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
63', Sequeira L. ↓, Tissera M. ↑,
63', Pereyra F. ↓, Moya S. ↑,
70', Raniele 🟨,
70', Ojeda E. 🟨,
74', Breno Bidon ↓, Igor Coronado ↑,
76', Alanis G. ↓, Abila R. ↑,
82', Raniele ↓, Maycon ↑,
90+2', Lescano L. 🟨,

Preview

Huracán has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Corinthians is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Corinthians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Huracán has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Huracán won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Huracán Buenos Aires
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.05.25	Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:1 penalties ✺
18.05.25	Rosario Central - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.05.25	América de Cali - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.05.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Deportivo Riestra	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.05.25	Racing Montevideo - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WWTWW
- Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A
24.05.25	Atlético Mineiro - Corinthians	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
21.05.25	Corinthians - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
18.05.25	Corinthians - Santos	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.05.25	Racing Montevideo - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
10.05.25	Mirassol - Corinthians	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
02.04.25	Corinthians - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:2

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