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Current Win Probability
Mirassol 39.4%
Draw 31.8%
Corinthians 28.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37%
30.7%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.7%
31.3%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Mirassol - Corinthians Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Corinthians will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Walter (G) 32. Igor Formiga 34. Joao Victor (C) 3. Willian Machado 12. Victor Luis 25. Neto Moura 8. Denilson 96. Carlos Eduardo 7. Shaylon 77. Alesson 95. Edson Carioca
1. Hugo Souza (G) 14. Raniele 5. Andre Ramalho 3. Gabriel Paulista 21. Matheus Bidu 29. Allan 23. Pereira M. 7. Breno Bidon 8. Garro R. (C) 77. Lingard J. 9. Yuri Alberto
Substitutes
23. Alex Muralha (G) 99. Andre Luis 10. Chico Kim 20. Daniel Borges 33. Eduardo 17. Everton Galdino 27. Galeano A. 26. Lucas Mugni 9. Nathan Fogaca 97. Rodrigues 90. Thomazella (G) 5. Yuri Lara
80. Alex Santana 26. Angileri F. 61. Dieguinho 40. Felipe Longo (G) 56. Gui Negao 37. Kaio Cesar 51. Kaue (G) 52. Labyad Z. 55. Machado I. 20. Milans P. 67. Nicollas 18. Pedro Raul
Coaches
Rafael Guanaes
Diniz F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
15', Edson Carioca 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Carlos Eduardo (Penalty Awarded),
33', 2 - 0, Edson Carioca ⚽, Carlos Eduardo (A),
38', Allan 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Denilson ↓, Yuri Lara ↑,
62', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Galeano A. ↑,
62', Lingard J. ↓, Kaio Cesar ↑,
71', Edson Carioca ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
74', Pereira M. ↓, Dieguinho ↑,
74', Garro R. ↓, Labyad Z. ↑,
74', Yuri Alberto ↓, Pedro Raul ↑,
76', Galeano A. 🟨,
78', Neto Moura 🟨,
80', 2 - 1, Dieguinho ⚽, Labyad Z. (A),
81', Breno Bidon ↓, Alex Santana ↑,
86', Shaylon ↓, Eduardo ↑,
87', Victor Luis ↓, Rodrigues ↑,
87', Walter 🟨,
90+4', Andre Luis 🟨,
90+4', Gabriel Paulista 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 1.
Mirassol has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Corinthians is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Mirassol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Mirassol has had a series of away games.
Mirassol will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Mirassol: Igor Carius
(Hamstring Injury)
Jose Aldo
(Yellow Cards)
Negueba
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Corinthians: Andre
(Red Card)
Carrillo A.
(Yellow Cards)
Charles Rigon
(Heel Injury)
Depay M.
(Thigh Injury)
Gui Negao
(Hamstring Injury)
Gustavo Henrique
(Yellow Cards)
Joao Pedro
(Muscle Injury)
Kayke
(Knee Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 6:19. (average 0.5:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Mirassol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
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Walter (G) 
Garro R. (C) 
Lingard J. 
Galeano A. 
Labyad Z. 
Milans P. 
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