Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Round 22

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Tomás Adolfo Duco (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
World	Disney+, Fanatiz, TyC Sports Internacional


	Huracán Buenos Aires		Independiente

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.6	3.3	Watch
	2.7	2.5	3.25
	2.72	2.52	3.3	Watch
	2.8	2.56	3.44
	2.75	2.54	3.41
	2.7	2.62	3.34	Watch
	2.72	2.52	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.19)	2.55 ↓ (2.98)	3.33 ↓ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Huracán Buenos Aires
34.6%

Draw
37.1%

Independiente
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

31.7%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

33.9%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huracán Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Huracán Buenos Aires's form might have worsened.

Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Huracán Buenos Aires, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Huracán Buenos Aires - Independiente Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Huracán will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Independiente will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Huracán: 2.5% – 64.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Galindez H. (G) 29. De La Fuente H. 6. Pereyra F. 2. Tobio F. 13. Benitez A. G. 20. Echeverria R. 24. Fattori F. 21. Watson F. N. 10. Mazzantti W. 43. Ramirez E. 16. Cabral R.	33. Rey R. (G) 4. Vera F. 26. Lomonaco K. 2. Laso J. 3. Sporle A. 23. Marcone I. (C) 17. Gonzalez L. 5. Loyola F. 44. Montiel S. 9. Avalos G. 16. Hidalgo S.
Substitutes
9. Abila R. 5. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 11. Alfonso F. 33. Burdisso G. 8. Fertoli H. 25. Ibanez C. 32. Meza S. (G) 19. Perez M. 22. Siles P. 28. Sonora A. 4. Souto L. 26. Toledo A.	8. Barcia B. 32. Canelo A. 29. Fedorco J. 24. Lopez S. 19. Luna A. 18. Maestro I. 21. Martinez D. 15. Perez D. 28. Quinonez Ruiz J. R. 35. Salle S. 25. Segovia D. (G) 31. Vallejo N.
Coaches
Kudelka F.	Vaccari J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Sporle A. ↓, Perez D. ↑,
15', Perez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 0, Mazzantti W. ⚽, Echeverria R. (A),
62', Watson F. N. ↓, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↑,
65', De La Fuente H. 🟨,
67', Montiel S. 🟨,
68', Gonzalez L. ↓, Maestro I. ↑,
68', Hidalgo S. ↓, Vallejo N. ↑,
72', Ramirez E. ↓, Abila R. ↑,
73', Cabral R. ↓, Fertoli H. ↑,
82', Benitez A. G. 🟨,
83', De La Fuente H. ↓, Souto L. ↑,
84', Echeverria R. ↓, Toledo A. ↑,
85', Vera F. ↓, Canelo A. ↑,
89', Canelo A. 🟨,
90+1', Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Huracán won 0.

Recent matches Huracán is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Independiente is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Independiente: Gimenez M. (Injury) Tasso M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Huracán: Carrizo L. (Knee Injury) Sonora A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Independiente: Lopez S. (Knee Injury) Toloza S. (Muscle Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Huracán won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 4:14 (average 0.4:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Huracán won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Huracán Buenos Aires
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.11.24	Newells Old Boys - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:4 ✺
01.11.24	Huracán Buenos Aires - Gimnasia La Plata	0:0 ✺
28.10.24	Huracán Buenos Aires - Central Córdoba	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
24.10.24	Huracán Buenos Aires - Central Córdoba	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.10.24	Unión Santa Fe - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTTLW
- CA Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.11.24	Independiente - Unión Santa Fe	3:0 ✺
31.10.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente	0:0 ✺
26.10.24	Independiente - Godoy Cruz	1:1 ✺
18.10.24	Lanús - Independiente	0:2 ✺
06.10.24	Independiente - Deportivo Riestra	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
08.02.24	Huracán Buenos Aires - Independiente	0:0
14.09.23	Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.07.23	Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:0
16.08.22	Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
07.05.22	Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires	3:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.09.21	Huracán Buenos Aires - Independiente	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.05.21	Huracán Buenos Aires - Independiente	1:3

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