The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente 45%
Draw 29.5%
Unión Santa Fe 25.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45%
30.5%
24.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.8%
30.6%
24.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Independiente have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
55.6%
22.2%
Independiente - Unión Santa Fe Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Unión will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Rey R. (C) 29. Godoy L. 13. Fedorco J. 26. Lomonaco K. 22. Zabala F. 23. Marcone I. 25. Pussetto I. 8. Millan L. 40. Malcorra I. 19. Abaldo M. 9. Avalos G.
21. Mansilla M. (G) 35. Vargas L. 26. Luduena J. 2. Rodriguez M. 11. Del Blanco M. 20. Palacios J. 30. Pitton M. (C) 24. Profini R. 22. Cuello B. 25. Tarragona C. 19. Estigarribia M.
Substitutes
4. Arias S. 1. Blazquez J. (G) 10. Cabral L. 6. Freire N. 28. Gutierrez M. 11. Mancuello F. 7. Montiel S. 16. Perez Curci M. 5. Rodrigo Fernandez 43. Valdez F. 36. Valdez S. 3. Valenzuela M.
31. Aguirre M. 4. Alvarez E. 29. Diaz D. 13. Fascendini V. 7. Fragapane F. 43. Giaccone E. 46. Grella S. 5. Menossi L. 40. Meuli L. (G) 8. Palavecino N. 12. Pitton B. 23. Solari A.
Coaches
Quinteros G.
Madelon L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
14', 0 - 1, Tarragona C. (Penalty Awarded),
20', 0 - 2, Cuello B. ⚽,
39', 0 - 3, Del Blanco M. ⚽, Profini R. (A),
45+1', 1 - 3, Pussetto I. ⚽, Avalos G. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Godoy L. ↓, Arias S. ↑,
46', Millan L. ↓, Cabral L. ↑,
49', 2 - 3, Avalos G. (Penalty Awarded),
59', Marcone I. 🟨,
63', Pussetto I. ↓, Montiel S. ↑,
64', 2 - 4, Rodriguez M. ⚽, Del Blanco M. (A),
68', 3 - 4, Avalos G. ⚽, Malcorra I. (A),
71', Palacios J. ↓, Solari A. ↑,
71', Cuello B. ↓, Pitton B. ↑,
76', Fedorco J. 🟨,
81', Abaldo M. ↓, Valdez F. ↑,
81', Marcone I. ↓, Rodrigo Fernandez ↑,
82', Del Blanco M. ↓, Fragapane F. ↑,
86', Tarragona C. ↓, Menossi L. ↑,
90+9', 4 - 4, Fedorco J. ⚽, Lomonaco K. (A),
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 3.
Now, both teams are in good form.
Independiente is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Unión: Colazo A.
(Inactive)
Palavecino N.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Unión: Cuello B.
(Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.1:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Independiente - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.99%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
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Rey R. (C) 
Millan L. 
Abaldo M. 
Avalos G. 
Arias S. 
Quinteros G. 
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