Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 21 February 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Arsenio Erico (Asunción)

Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Portugal	Sport TV


	Nacional Asuncion		Sporting Cristal

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.75	Watch
	2	3.3	3.6
	1.88	3.55	3.7
	2.02	3.43	3.86
	2	3.1	3.6
	1.99	3.44	3.78	Watch
	1.97	3.3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.81)	3.35 ↑ (3.24)	3.7 ↓ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional Asuncion
47.1%

Draw
27.8%

Sporting Cristal
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

28.3%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	10%	30%

Nacional Asuncion - Sporting Cristal Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Nacional Asuncion is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sporting Cristal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nacional Asuncion will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
18.02.23	Nacional Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.02.23	Nacional Asuncion - Sport Huancayo	3:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
11.02.23	General Caballero JLM - Nacional Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.02.23	Sport Huancayo - Nacional Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
28.01.23	Guaireña - Nacional Asuncion	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLW
- Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1
17.02.23	Sporting Cristal - FBC Melgar	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	Carlos A. Mannucci - Sporting Cristal	1:1 ✺
05.02.23	Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima	Sporting Cristal awarded ✺
Club Friendly
15.01.23	Sporting Cristal - Deportes Tolima	2:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
06.11.22	Sporting Cristal - FBC Melgar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WT?WL

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