Match Info

Division 2 - Round 30

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Suche Stawy (Kraków)


	Hutnik		Warta Poznań

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.25
	2.42	3.15	2.58	Watch
	2.49	3.29	2.69
	2.51	3.3	2.72	Watch
	2.45	3	2.5
	2.43	3.2	2.58	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.31)	3.18 (3.18)	2.54 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hutnik
35.9%

Draw
28.4%

Warta Poznań
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

27.9%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

27.6%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hutnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Warta Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hutnik than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Hutnik - Warta Poznań Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wroblewski K. (G) 18. Basse A. 14. Bracik K. 3. Holuj F. 8. Jopek S. 4. Kedziora L. 76. Kielis P. 77. Prusinski K. 10. Sowinski M. 6. Urbanczyk M. 43. Zawada O.	42. Przybylak L. (G) 24. Avdeev D. 35. Jakubowski F. 8. Kumoch K. 23. Kusztal P. 2. Lepczynski K. 29. Rychert K. 9. Stanek M. 71. Steblecki S. 17. Stefaniak M. 7. Walus F.
Substitutes
16. Bil S. 2. Galazka A. 13. Gandziarowski M. 96. Guerrier W. 45. Hoyo-Kowalski D. 37. Motrycz A. 33. Nowak W. (G) 19. Rzepka K. 21. Szablowski K.	20. Dziedzic K. 16. Kornobis I. 1. Kosiorek J. (G) 3. Michalski S. 13. Niedzielski J. 99. Smoczynski M. 11. Tonder F. 21. Zylla M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Walus F. ⚽,
39', Urbanczyk M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Stanek M. ↓, Smoczynski M. ↑,
46', Basse A. ↓, Galazka A. ↑,
50', Urbanczyk M. ↓, Bil S. ↑,
58', Kumoch K. ↓, Dziedzic K. ↑,
61', Jakubowski F. 🟨,
65', Kusztal P. ↓, Zylla M. ↑,
67', Kedziora L. ↓, Hoyo-Kowalski D. ↑,
67', Sowinski M. ↓, Szablowski K. ↑,
68', Dziedzic K. 🟨,
77', Jopek S. ↓, Rzepka K. ↑,
77', Steblecki S. 🟨,
87', Steblecki S. ↓, Michalski S. ↑,
87', Stefaniak M. ↓, Kornobis I. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1).

Hutnik is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Warta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Warta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hutnik won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now

Hutnik Krakow: 1.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Hutnik Krakow	10	4	3	3	16:13	3	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hutnik Kraków
Polish Division 2
25.04.26	Hutnik - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Swit Skolwin - Hutnik	1:4 ✺
12.04.26	Hutnik - Sokół Kleczew	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Hutnik	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Hutnik - Unia Skierniewice	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWWTT
- Warta Poznań
Polish Division 2
26.04.26	Olimpia Grudziądz - Warta Poznań	2:4 ✺
19.04.26	Warta Poznań - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:2 ✺
15.04.26	Warta Poznań - Śląsk Wrocław 2	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Stal Stalowa Wola - Warta Poznań	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Sokół Kleczew - Warta Poznań	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
17.10.25	Warta Poznań - Hutnik	2:1

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