Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K3 League - Round 20

Date: 25 July 2024, Thursday


	Hwaseong		Busan Kyotong

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.47	4	6	Watch
	1.48	4.05	6.46
	1.5	3.92	6	Watch
	1.53	3.8	5
	1.44	4.1	6.31	Watch
	1.48	4	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.55)	3.98 ↑ (3.8)	5.93 ↑ (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hwaseong
61.6%

Draw
23%

Busan Kyotong
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

23.8%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

23.1%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hwaseong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Busan Kyotong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hwaseong than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Busan Kyotong than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Hwaseong - Busan Kyotong Predictions

Users Predictions: Hwaseong will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Hwang E. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Woo J. ⚽,
38', 2 - 1, Costa L. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
55', 3 - 1, (Own goal),
59', 4 - 1, Kim D. ⚽,
67', 4 - 2, Ahn Sang-Jin ⚽,
72', 🟥,
73', 🟥,
88', 5 - 2, Jo Y. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hwaseong won 2.

Hwaseong is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Busan Kyotong is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Hwaseong is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Hwaseong won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Hwaseong won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hwaseong FC
South Korean K3 League
21.07.24	Paju Frontier - Hwaseong	0:2 ✺
12.07.24	Hwaseong - Daejeon Korail	2:2 ✺
06.07.24	Gimhae - Hwaseong	1:2 ✺
30.06.24	Daegu 2 - Hwaseong	0:3 ✺
23.06.24	Hwaseong - Changwon City	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTWWL
- Busan Kyotong FC
South Korean K3 League
21.07.24	Busan Kyotong - Changwon City	2:1 ✺
13.07.24	Gangneung - Busan Kyotong	2:1 ✺
07.07.24	Busan Kyotong - Gyeongju KH&NP	1:0 ✺
28.06.24	Chuncheon - Busan Kyotong	2:2 ✺
23.06.24	Siheung - Busan Kyotong	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 41.1 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
14.04.24	Busan Kyotong - Hwaseong	1:3
09.09.23	Busan Kyotong - Hwaseong	1:1
14.05.23	Hwaseong - Busan Kyotong	2:1
03.07.22	Hwaseong - Busan Kyotong	1:1
19.03.22	Busan Kyotong - Hwaseong	2:2
26.06.21	Hwaseong - Busan Kyotong	1:2

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