Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K3 League - Round 19

Date: 21 July 2024, Sunday


	Paju Frontier		Hwaseong

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.25	1.95	Watch
	3.4	3.3	2.11
	3.62	3.33	1.95	Watch
	3.67	3.16	1.97	Watch
	3.4	3.15	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (2.63)	3.24 ↑ (3.2)	2.01 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paju Frontier
25.9%

Draw
28.3%

Hwaseong
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

28.2%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

28.3%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paju Frontier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paju Frontier's form might have worsened.

Hwaseong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hwaseong's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paju Frontier than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paju Frontier, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hwaseong than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hwaseong, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Paju Frontier - Hwaseong Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Paju Frontier will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Hwaseong will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Baek Seung-Woo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 0 - 2, Najjar M. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paju Citizen won 2.

Recent matches Paju Citizen is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hwaseong is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Paju Citizen have a series of home games.

Hwaseong will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Paju Citizen won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Paju Citizen won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paju Frontier
South Korean K3 League
13.07.24	Paju Frontier - Changwon City	1:2 ✺
06.07.24	Paju Frontier - Gangneung	2:1 ✺
29.06.24	Paju Frontier - Gyeongju KH&NP	1:1 ✺
21.06.24	Chuncheon - Paju Frontier	1:1 ✺
16.06.24	Paju Frontier - Siheung	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWTTL
- Hwaseong FC
South Korean K3 League
12.07.24	Hwaseong - Daejeon Korail	2:2 ✺
06.07.24	Gimhae - Hwaseong	1:2 ✺
30.06.24	Daegu 2 - Hwaseong	0:3 ✺
23.06.24	Hwaseong - Changwon City	4:5 ✺
15.06.24	Hwaseong - Gangneung	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
07.04.24	Hwaseong - Paju Frontier	2:0
15.07.23	Paju Frontier - Hwaseong	2:1
02.04.23	Hwaseong - Paju Frontier	0:0
29.10.22	Paju Frontier - Hwaseong	3:0
05.06.22	Hwaseong - Paju Frontier	1:1
01.10.21	Hwaseong - Paju Frontier	1:1
29.05.21	Paju Frontier - Hwaseong	1:1

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