The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Paju Frontier 19.9%
Draw 25%
Hwaseong 55.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.3%
28.2%
45.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.1%
27%
47.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paju Frontier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paju Frontier's form might have worsened.
Hwaseong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hwaseong's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paju Frontier than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paju Frontier, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hwaseong than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hwaseong, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Paju Frontier - Hwaseong Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Paju Frontier will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Hwaseong will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ryu Won-Woo (G) 34. Noh S. 5. Sim Min-Yong 20. Hong Jeong-un (C) 33. Bonilla J. 88. Lee Taek-Geun 18. Lee Jea-Ho 40. Amos L. 8. Choi Bum-Kyung 19. You Jae-jun 92. Baston B.
1. Kim S. (G) 44. Ham Sun-Woo 97. Lee Rae-Jun 4. Jang Min-jun 20. Park Jun-seo 8. Jeon S. (C) 16. Choi Myung-Hee 22. Kim D. 7. Jegal Jae-Min 90. Ilyuchenko S. 10. Demethryus
Substitutes
70. Ahn June Hyuk 6. Cheon Hyeon-Byung 4. Kim Hyun-Tae 13. Kim Min-seung (G) 16. Lee D. 22. Lee Min-Ki 17. Park S. 14. Seo Dong-Han 7. Walterson Silva
24. Choi Ye-Hoon 14. Kim Byung-Oh 6. Kim Jung-Min 77. Lee Ji-Han 92. Lee Jong-Sung 38. Park E. (G) 11. Pllana L. 15. Vojnovic A. 5. Yang Si-Hoo
Coaches
Nus G.
Cha Du-Ri
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Lee Rae-Jun ⚽, Demethryus (A),
44', Amos L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Amos L. ↓, Ahn June Hyuk ↑,
59', Demethryus ↓, Pllana L. ↑,
59', Park Jun-seo ↓, Choi Ye-Hoon ↑,
62', Lee Rae-Jun ↓, Vojnovic A. ↑,
66', Lee Jea-Ho ↓, Seo Dong-Han ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Ahn June Hyuk ⚽, Baston B. (A),
76', Baston B. ↓, Lee D. ↑,
88', Choi Myung-Hee ↓, Kim Jung-Min ↑,
88', You Jae-jun ↓, Kim Hyun-Tae ↑,
89', Jeon S. ↓, Lee Jong-Sung ↑,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 12th and 6th in the Promotion - K League 2 Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paju Frontier won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Paju Frontier could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Hwaseong has had a run of games away from home.
Hwaseong is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Paju Frontier has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:9 (averaging 1.1:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Paju Frontier against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 6:4 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Hwaseong
29
12
9
8
44:32
12
45
12
Paju Frontier
28
8
7
13
27:34
-7
31
Last Results with these Odds
Hwaseong - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.52%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
South Korea
International
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Ryu Won-Woo (G) 
Bonilla J. 
Amos L. 
Baston B. 
Ilyuchenko S. 
Demethryus 
Pllana L. 
Vojnovic A. 
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