Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K3 League - Round 15

Date: 23 June 2024, Sunday


	Hwaseong		Changwon City

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	3.75	Watch
	2.02	3.27	3.8
	2.02	3.27	3.8
	1.83	3.25	3.6
	1.9	3.28	3.77	Watch
	1.98	3.2	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.4)	3.26 ↑ (3.2)	3.7 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hwaseong
47.2%

Draw
28.1%

Changwon City
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28.2%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

28.9%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hwaseong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hwaseong's performance.

Changwon City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Changwon City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hwaseong than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hwaseong that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changwon City than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Changwon City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Hwaseong - Changwon City Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Hwaseong will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Changwon will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
18', 1 - 0, Najjar M. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, ⚽,
40', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 3)
47', 2 - 2, Park Gi-Hyun ⚽,
53', 3 - 2, ⚽,
60', 4 - 2, ⚽,
62', 4 - 3, ⚽,
76', 4 - 4, ⚽,
90', 4 - 5, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hwaseong FC
South Korean K3 League
15.06.24	Hwaseong - Gangneung	1:0 ✺
08.06.24	Gyeongju KH&NP - Hwaseong	1:1 ✺
02.06.24	Hwaseong - Chuncheon	0:0 ✺
26.05.24	Siheung - Hwaseong	1:0 ✺
18.05.24	Hwaseong - Ulsan Citizen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTTLW
- Changwon City FC
South Korean K3 League
16.06.24	Changwon City - Daegu 2	1:0 ✺
09.06.24	Changwon City - Gangneung	2:1 ✺
02.06.24	Changwon City - Gyeongju KH&NP	0:1 ✺
25.05.24	Chuncheon - Changwon City	2:3 ✺
18.05.24	Changwon City - Siheung	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
03.11.23	Changwon City - Hwaseong	1:2
10.06.23	Hwaseong - Changwon City	1:0
17.06.22	Changwon City - Hwaseong	0:0
06.03.22	Hwaseong - Changwon City	2:1
13.11.21	Changwon City - Hwaseong	2:2
19.06.21	Hwaseong - Changwon City	0:0
25.07.20	Changwon City - Hwaseong	2:1

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