Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K3 League - Round 10

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday


	Hwaseong		Ulsan Citizen

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.75	3.44	4.88
	1.76	3.44	4.89
	1.71	3.39	4.99
	1.74	3.45	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.79)	3.42 ↓ (3.45)	4.71 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hwaseong
53.4%

Draw
27%

Ulsan Citizen
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

26.9%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

26.5%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hwaseong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Ulsan Citizen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hwaseong than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan Citizen than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Hwaseong - Ulsan Citizen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 1 - 0, Park Gi-Hyun ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hwaseong won 2.

The competitors look crappy now.

Hwaseong could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hwaseong is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Hwaseong won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Hwaseong won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hwaseong FC
South Korean K3 League
12.05.24	Hwaseong - Mokpo City	1:0 ✺
03.05.24	Yeoju - Hwaseong	0:0 ✺
28.04.24	Yangpyeong - Hwaseong	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Hwaseong - Pocheon	1:4 ✺
South Korean Cup
17.04.24	Gangwon - Hwaseong	3:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WTLLL
- Ulsan Citizen FC
South Korean K3 League
11.05.24	Ulsan Citizen - Changwon City	0:4 ✺
04.05.24	Gangneung - Ulsan Citizen	0:0 ✺
28.04.24	Gyeongju KH&NP - Ulsan Citizen	1:2 ✺
20.04.24	Chuncheon - Ulsan Citizen	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Ulsan Citizen - Siheung	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
28.10.23	Hwaseong - Ulsan Citizen	1:1
03.06.23	Ulsan Citizen - Hwaseong	0:1
South Korean Cup
04.03.23	Ulsan Citizen - Hwaseong	1:2 penalties
South Korean K3 League
28.08.22	Ulsan Citizen - Hwaseong	0:0
01.05.22	Hwaseong - Ulsan Citizen	0:0
31.10.21	Ulsan Citizen - Hwaseong	1:1
09.06.21	Hwaseong - Ulsan Citizen	1:0

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