Match Info

K League 2 - Round 19

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Hwaseong Stadium (Hwaseong)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	K League TV


	Hwaseong		Chungnam Asan

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3	Watch
	2.2	3.1	2.9
	2.38	3.05	2.70
	2.31	3.39	3.25
	2.25	3.31	3.08	Watch
	2.20	3.30	3.15
	2.20	3.18	3.03	Watch
	2.22	3.15	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.26)	3.2 ↓ (3.33)	3.01 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hwaseong
40.9%

Draw
28.7%

Chungnam Asan
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

28%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

27%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hwaseong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Chungnam Asan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hwaseong than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chungnam Asan than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	57.1%	14.3%

Hwaseong - Chungnam Asan Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Hwaseong will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Chungnam Asan will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim S. (G) 20. Park Jun-seo 44. Ham Sun-Woo 15. Vojnovic A. 16. Choi Myung-Hee 13. Park Jae-Seong 92. Lee Jong-Sung (C) 17. Park Kyung-Min 11. Pllana L. 14. Kim Byung-Oh 10. Demethryus	18. Shin Song-Hoon (G) 14. Park Seong-Woo 33. Kim Hye-seong 6. Choi Hee-Won 17. Kim Ju-Sung 88. Jung S. 10. Son Jun-Ho 13. Kim Young-Nam 71. Yun Je-hee 9. Kim Jong-Min (C) 84. Mohammed N.
Substitutes
7. Jegal Jae-Min 8. Jeon S. 22. Kim D. 6. Kim Jung-Min 97. Lee Rae-Jun 2. Lim C. 38. Park E. (G) 9. Petrov S. 29. Son Seung-Beom	5. Byun J. 20. Choi Bo-Kyung 11. Denisson Silva 7. Han Kyo-Won 70. Ju-Young P. 21. Kim Jin-Young (G) 97. Lokolingoy C. 24. Park Se-Jik
Coaches
Cha Du-Ri	Gaspar A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Park Jae-Seong ⚽, Kim Byung-Oh (A),
26', Mohammed N. ↓, Denisson Silva ↑,
40', 2 - 0, Kim Byung-Oh ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Yun Je-hee ↓, Han Kyo-Won ↑,
46', Jung S. ↓, Vitinho Lopes ↑,
48', Choi Hee-Won 🟨,
54', Choi Myung-Hee ↓, Kim D. ↑,
54', Demethryus ↓, Jegal Jae-Min ↑,
63', 3 - 0, Jegal Jae-Min ⚽,
65', Lee Jong-Sung ↓, Jeon S. ↑,
65', Park Jae-Seong ↓, Lee Rae-Jun ↑,
71', Kim Jong-Min ↓, Lokolingoy C. ↑,
75', Kim Byung-Oh ↓, Petrov S. ↑,
77', Lee Rae-Jun 🟨,
81', Kim Young-Nam ↓, Ju-Young P. ↑,
82', 3 - 1, Ju-Young P. ⚽,
90', 3 - 2, Ju-Young P. ⚽, Denisson Silva (A),
90+4', Jegal Jae-Min 🟨,
90+6', Kim Hye-seong 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 2 (Play Offs: ) and 8)

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Hwaseong has had a series of home games.

Recently, Chungnam Asan has had a series of away games.

Hwaseong is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hwaseong won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hwaseong won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Hwaseong	26	12	8	6	41:27	14	44
8	Asan	25	9	7	9	34:31	3	34

Last Results with these Odds

Chungnam Asan - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 30.69%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hwaseong FC
South Korean K-League 2
19.07.26	Yongin - Hwaseong	0:3 ✺
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Hwaseong - Yangpyeong	4:3 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
11.07.26	Hwaseong - Paju Frontier	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	Hwaseong - Suwon Bluewings	1:2 ✺
31.05.26	Hwaseong - Gyeongnam	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLLW
- Chungnam Asan
South Korean K-League 2
18.07.26	Jeonnam Dragons - Chungnam Asan	1:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Jeonnam Dragons - Chungnam Asan	3:4 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
12.07.26	Chungnam Asan - Gyeongnam	1:1 ✺
05.07.26	Gimpo - Chungnam Asan	0:2 ✺
05.06.26	Busan I Park - Chungnam Asan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
28.03.26	Chungnam Asan - Hwaseong	1:0
07.09.25	Hwaseong - Chungnam Asan	1:1
26.07.25	Chungnam Asan - Hwaseong	1:1
02.03.25	Hwaseong - Chungnam Asan	1:1

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