Match Info

Korean Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Jeju World Cup Stadium (Seogwipo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Jeju		Hwaseong

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.60	3.60	4.60
	1.65	3.65	4.75
	1.7	3.79	4.9
	1.68	3.78	4.81	Watch
	1.65	3.75	4.85	Watch
	1.64	3.6	4.73	Watch
	1.68	3.7	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.74)	3.67 ↑ (3.55)	4.72 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jeju
55.5%

Draw
25.1%

Hwaseong
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

25.6%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

25.2%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Hwaseong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeju than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hwaseong than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Jeju - Hwaseong Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Jeju will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Jang Min-jun ⚽,
23', 0 - 2, Demethryus ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 2, Emerson Negueba ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 2, Park Chang-Jun ⚽,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
95', 2 - 3, Ilyuchenko S. ⚽,
97', 3 - 3, Matheus Aias ⚽,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Jeju is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hwaseong's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Jeju may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Hwaseong has had a series of home games.

In this match, Jeju is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeju SK
South Korean K-League 1
26.07.26	Gwangju - Jeju	1:2 ✺
21.07.26	Jeju - Gangwon	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Jeju - Pohang Steelers	2:1 ✺
12.07.26	Jeju - Daejeon Citizen	0:0 ✺
05.07.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Jeju	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTWTT
- Hwaseong FC
South Korean K-League 2
25.07.26	Hwaseong - Chungnam Asan	3:2 ✺
19.07.26	Yongin - Hwaseong	0:3 ✺
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Hwaseong - Yangpyeong	4:3 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
11.07.26	Hwaseong - Paju Frontier	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	Hwaseong - Suwon Bluewings	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLL

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