Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K3 League - Round 9

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday


	Hwaseong		Mokpo City

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.7	3.58	5.09
	1.63	3.63	5.18	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.88)	3.55 ↑ (3.05)	4.83 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hwaseong
55%

Draw
26%

Mokpo City
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

30.3%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

26.2%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hwaseong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hwaseong's performance.

Mokpo City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hwaseong than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hwaseong that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mokpo City than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Hwaseong - Mokpo City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Eduardo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hwaseong FC
South Korean K3 League
03.05.24	Yeoju - Hwaseong	0:0 ✺
28.04.24	Yangpyeong - Hwaseong	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Hwaseong - Pocheon	1:4 ✺
South Korean Cup
17.04.24	Gangwon - Hwaseong	3:1 ET ✺
South Korean K3 League
14.04.24	Busan Kyotong - Hwaseong	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 TLLLW
- Mokpo City FC
South Korean K3 League
05.05.24	Changwon City - Mokpo City	3:0 ✺
27.04.24	Mokpo City - Gangneung	1:1 ✺
21.04.24	Gyeongju KH&NP - Mokpo City	2:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
17.04.24	Mokpo City - Bucheon	1:2 ✺
South Korean K3 League
13.04.24	Mokpo City - Chuncheon	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
20.08.23	Hwaseong - Mokpo City	0:4
22.04.23	Mokpo City - Hwaseong	1:2
26.06.22	Hwaseong - Mokpo City	1:0
22.06.22	Mokpo City - Hwaseong	0:1
05.09.21	Hwaseong - Mokpo City	2:3
02.05.21	Mokpo City - Hwaseong	1:0

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