Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 30 November 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV3
Sweden	21:00	TV6, Viaplay


	Häcken		Bayer Leverkusen

	1	X	2
	10	5.75	1.29
	9	6	1.3
	9.6	6	1.3	Watch
	9.64	6.2	1.29
	9.66	6.19	1.28
	10	6	1.25
	9.7	6.25	1.28
	9.2	6.4	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.6 ↑ (6.43)	6.1 ↑ (5.06)	1.28 ↓ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Häcken
9.9%

Draw
15.6%

Bayer Leverkusen
74.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

14.7%

18.7%

66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

18.3%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Häcken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bayer Leverkusen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Häcken than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bayer Leverkusen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.2%	4.3%	93.5%

Häcken - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

Users Predictions: Bayer Leverkusen will win (43 of 46 users predict this - 93.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.35% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Abrahamsson P. (G) 8. Abdulrazak I. 4. Ousou A. 5. Hovland E. 21. Totland T. 18. Rygaard M. 11. Gustafson S. (C) 27. Romeo A. 17. Chilufya E. 19. Hrstic S. 24. Layouni A.	17. Kovar M. (G) 2. Stanisic J. 12. Tapsoba E. 4. Tah J. (C) 3. Hincapie P. 32. Puerta G. 8. Andrich R. 19. Tella N. 23. Hlozek A. 21. Adli A. 22. Boniface V.
Substitutes
30. Banozic S. (G) 1. Brattberg J. (G) 39. Brusberg I. 16. Dahbo P. 25. Faye A. 15. Hodzic K. 35. Jansson S. 9. Kamara O. 22. Sana T. 13. Sandberg S. 23. Sonko M. L. 10. Youssef A.	47. Aourir A. 30. Frimpong J. 20. Grimaldo A. 7. Hofmann J. 1. Hradecky L. (G) 6. Kossounou O. 36. Lomb N. (G) 18. Mbamba N. 25. Palacios E. 14. Schick P. 34. Xhaka G.
Coaches
Hogmo P.	Alonso X.

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Gamla Ullevi.

Bayer is Qualified for Europa League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Häcken is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bayer in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Bayer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Bayer have a series of guest games.

In this match Bayer is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Häcken: Fridriksson V. L. (Injury) Gustafson S. (Injury) Laursen J. B. (Injury) Trpchevski F. (Injury) Turgott B. (Injury)

There will not play in Bayer: Arthur (Tendon Injury) Wirtz F. (Injury)

There are questionable in Bayer: Schick P. (Lacking Match Fitness)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Häcken won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BK Häcken
Swedish Allsvenskan
12.11.23	Brommapojkarna - Häcken	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.11.23	Häcken - Molde	1:3 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
05.11.23	Häcken - Malmö	4:2 ✺
29.10.23	Mjällby - Häcken	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.10.23	Molde - Häcken	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL
- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
25.11.23	Werder Bremen - Bayer Leverkusen	0:3 ✺
12.11.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.11.23	Qarabağ Agdam - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
04.11.23	Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen	2:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
01.11.23	Sandhausen - Bayer Leverkusen	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
21.09.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Häcken	4:0

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