Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 29 July 2025, Tuesday

Location: Mikheil Meskhi Stadium (Tbilisi)

Referee: Umudlu K. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Soccernet TV
Georgia	1TV


	Iberia 1999		Levadia Tallinn

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.5	5	Watch
	1.52	4	5.5
	1.7	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.69	3.51	4.59
	1.73	3.41	5.03	Watch
	1.67	3.8	4.5
	1.7	3.78	5.26	Watch
	1.73	3.29	3.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.79)	3.61 ↑ (3.35)	4.81 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iberia 1999
55.2%

Draw
25.6%

Levadia Tallinn
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

26.6%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

25.3%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iberia 1999 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Iberia 1999's performance.

Levadia Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iberia 1999 than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Iberia 1999 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levadia Tallinn than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Levadia Tallinn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	5.6%	5.6%

Iberia 1999 - Levadia Tallinn Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Levadia (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - Levadia (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Iberia 1999 (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Iberia 1999 will win (32 of 36 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.62% – 99.16%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Iberia 1999 will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Iberia 1999 (votes: 19 - 82.6%). Levadia (votes: 3 - 13%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Makaridze G. (G) 20. Zohouri A. 24. Agyakwa D. 4. Jgerenaia G. 23. Tabatadze G. 8. Kardava B. 14. Goshteliani G. 6. Dadiani N. 10. Silagadze L. 9. Dzagania A. 7. Tabatadze I. (C)	99. Vallner K. (G) 7. Tur E. 6. Peetson R. (C) 35. Iboro V. 2. Schjonning-Larsen M. 11. Ainsalu M. 15. Mavretic T. 36. Joao Pedro 14. Agyiri E. 19. Musaba R. 5. Roosnupp M.
Substitutes
29. Akhvlediani T. 25. Amisulashvili A. 12. Bochorishvili S. (G) 33. Klas D. 40. Kobuladze G. 15. Kukalia G. 19. Kvartskhava D. 1. Megrelishvili T. (G) 32. Rusevic A. 18. Sikharulidze I. 13. Vrbanec M.	18. Alexandre 1. Ani O. (G) 25. Kallaste K. 71. Kaua Davi 17. Kirss R. 10. Lepistu B. 41. Skvortsov M. 9. Tambedou B. 4. Tammik T. 28. Torres C. 77. Wendell 24. Zakarlyuka A.
Coaches
Korghalidze L.	Torres C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', Tabatadze G. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Goshteliani G. ⚽, Tabatadze G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Agyiri E. ↓, Torres C. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Torres C. ⚽, Tur E. (A),
50', Tur E. 🟨,
62', Dzagania A. ↓, Rusevic A. ↑,
62', Dadiani N. ↓, Klas D. ↑,
66', Roosnupp M. ↓, Tambedou B. ↑,
66', Mavretic T. ↓, Alexandre ↑,
71', Peetson R. ↓, Tammik T. ↑,
73', Goshteliani G. ↓, Sikharulidze I. ↑,
73', Zohouri A. ↓, Kvartskhava D. ↑,
82', Ainsalu M. ↓, Kirss R. ↑,
84', Joao Pedro 🟨,
87', 2 - 1, Agyakwa D. ⚽, Tabatadze G. (A),
90+6', Tabatadze I. 🟨,
90+6', Kardava B. ↓, Vrbanec M. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
102', Tabatadze G. ↓, Amisulashvili A. ↑,
106', Joao Pedro ↓, Zakarlyuka A. ↑,
109', 2 - 2, Kirss R. ⚽, Alexandre (A),
113', Alexandre 🟨,
116', Vallner K. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.

Iberia 1999 has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Levadia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Iberia 1999 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Iberia 1999 is the team to beat.

We predict that Levadia will win today's game, with odds of 5.26.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Iberia 1999 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iberia 1999
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.25	Levadia Tallinn - Iberia 1999	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.07.25	Malmö - Iberia 1999	3:1 ✺
08.07.25	Iberia 1999 - Malmö	1:3 ✺
Georgian Super Cup
01.07.25	Iberia 1999 - Torpedo Kutaisi	0:1 penalties ✺
26.06.25	Iberia 1999 - Dila Gori	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Levadia Tallinn
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.25	Levadia Tallinn - Iberia 1999	1:0 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
19.07.25	Levadia Tallinn - Harju JK Laagri	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.07.25	RFS - Levadia Tallinn	1:0 ✺
08.07.25	Levadia Tallinn - RFS	0:1 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
04.07.25	Paide LM - Levadia Tallinn	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.25	Levadia Tallinn - Iberia 1999	1:0

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