Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 39

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)

Referee: Sanchez Lopez R. (Esp)


	Ibiza		Albacete Balompié

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.4	1.8	Watch
	4.4	3.3	1.75
	4.2	3.65	1.82	Watch
	4.91	3.54	1.82
	4.65	3.5	1.8	Watch
	4.4	3.45	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.55 ↑ (3.63)	3.47 ↑ (3.27)	1.8 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
20.7%

Draw
27.1%

Albacete Balompié
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

28.2%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

26.9%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Albacete Balompié has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Albacete Balompié's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	6.7%	73.3%

Ibiza - Albacete Balompié Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Ibiza will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Albacete will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Albacete: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Ibiza has the most likely position - 21 (77.81%), project points - 33, currently - 29, already of relegated.

Albacete has the most likely position - 6 (51.63%), project points - 65, currently - 59, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (70%), a chance of promoted (17%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 30, small importance 20, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Ibiza has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Albacete is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Albacete is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ibiza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Ibiza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish LaLiga2
28.04.23	Racing Santander - Ibiza	1:0 ✺
22.04.23	Ibiza - Real Oviedo	1:2 ✺
16.04.23	Tenerife - Ibiza	4:0 ✺
08.04.23	Ibiza - Sporting de Gijón	1:3 ✺
02.04.23	Mirandés - Ibiza	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLLT
- Albacete Balompié
Spanish LaLiga2
29.04.23	Albacete Balompié - Cartagena	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Villarreal B - Albacete Balompié	1:2 ✺
14.04.23	Albacete Balompié - Eibar	3:1 ✺
08.04.23	Racing Santander - Albacete Balompié	4:1 ✺
03.04.23	Albacete Balompié - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
18.12.22	Albacete Balompié - Ibiza	4:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
11.01.20	Ibiza - Albacete Balompié	2:1 penalties

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