Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 38

Date: 28 April 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio El Sardinero (Santander)

Referee: De La Fuente Ramos O. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport


	Racing Santander		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.63	3.4	5.5
	1.65	3.5	5.8
	1.67	3.57	6.41
	1.65	3.56	5.85	Watch
	1.67	3.5	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.88)	3.52 ↑ (3.15)	5.74 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Santander
56.9%

Draw
26.7%

Ibiza
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

29.3%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

28.8%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Racing Santander's performance.

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ibiza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Racing Santander that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.3%	13.6%	9.1%

Racing Santander - Ibiza Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Ibiza will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Racing has the most likely position - 18 (23.58%), project points - 51, currently - 44, a small chance of relegated (9%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

Ibiza has the most likely position - 21 (76.38%), project points - 34, currently - 29, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of prom. playoffs.

Recent matches Racing is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ibiza is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Racing is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Racing won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
23.04.23	Racing Santander - Granada	1:0 ✺
15.04.23	Zaragoza - Racing Santander	4:1 ✺
08.04.23	Racing Santander - Albacete Balompié	4:1 ✺
01.04.23	Burgos - Racing Santander	2:1 ✺
25.03.23	Racing Santander - Levante	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWLL
- UD Ibiza
Spanish LaLiga2
22.04.23	Ibiza - Real Oviedo	1:2 ✺
16.04.23	Tenerife - Ibiza	4:0 ✺
08.04.23	Ibiza - Sporting de Gijón	1:3 ✺
02.04.23	Mirandés - Ibiza	2:2 ✺
25.03.23	Ibiza - Burgos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
08.12.22	Ibiza - Racing Santander	1:0

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