Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 37

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)

Referee: Barrera R. (Esp)


	Ibiza		Real Oviedo

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.88	2.55	Watch
	3.1	2.65	2.5
	3.05	2.65	2.75
	3.46	2.8	2.59
	3.3	2.78	2.53	Watch
	3.2	2.75	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (3)	2.75 (2.75)	2.58 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
29.2%

Draw
34.2%

Real Oviedo
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

34.1%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

35.3%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	77.8%	22.2%

Ibiza - Real Oviedo Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Ibiza has the most likely position - 21 (69.9%), project points - 35, currently - 29, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of prom. playoffs.

Oviedo has the most likely position - 12 (11.53%), project points - 55, currently - 46, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

This event has small quality 29, very small importance 2, small match rating 16. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Ibiza is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oviedo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ibiza won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Ibiza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish LaLiga2
16.04.23	Tenerife - Ibiza	4:0 ✺
08.04.23	Ibiza - Sporting de Gijón	1:3 ✺
02.04.23	Mirandés - Ibiza	2:2 ✺
25.03.23	Ibiza - Burgos	2:0 ✺
18.03.23	FC Andorra - Ibiza	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LLTWT
- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
15.04.23	Real Oviedo - Lugo	2:1 ✺
09.04.23	Las Palmas - Real Oviedo	0:1 ✺
01.04.23	Real Oviedo - Eibar	1:1 ✺
26.03.23	Granada - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Leganés - Real Oviedo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
17.09.22	Real Oviedo - Ibiza	0:1
29.05.22	Real Oviedo - Ibiza	3:2
18.09.21	Ibiza - Real Oviedo	1:1

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