Match Info

Date: 20 October 2021, Wednesday


	Valladolid		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.6	3.4	5.25
	1.67	3.65	5.2	Watch
	1.63	3.6	5.4
	1.71	3.87	5.37
	1.67	3.4	5.25
	1.63	3.72	5.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.71)	3.63 ↑ (3.59)	5.42 ↑ (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid
56.8%

Draw
25.9%

Ibiza
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

26.3%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

16.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-22.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valladolid that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ibiza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Valladolid - Ibiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 16).

Valladolid has the most likely position - 1 (16.33%), has project points - 69, has currently - 15, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (35%), has a chance of promoted (40%), has a chance of win league (16%).

Ibiza has the most likely position - 21 (10.21%), has project points - 47, has currently - 11, has a chance of relegated (38%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Valladolid is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ibiza is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Valladolid is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
17.10.21	Leganés - Valladolid	0:2 ✺
08.10.21	Valladolid - Málaga	1:1 ✺
01.10.21	Ponferradina - Valladolid	2:2 ✺
26.09.21	Valladolid - Alcorcón	2:0 ✺
18.09.21	Girona - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTTWL
- UD Ibiza
Spanish LaLiga2
17.10.21	Ibiza - Mirandés	0:2 ✺
10.10.21	Cartagena - Ibiza	5:1 ✺
03.10.21	Eibar - Ibiza	3:1 ✺
25.09.21	Ibiza - Burgos	2:0 ✺
18.09.21	Ibiza - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWT

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