Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 37

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Ibiza		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.1	4.33
	1.92	3.15	3.95
	1.94	3.28	4.03
	1.88	3.39	4.11	Watch
	1.91	3	3.75
	1.88	3.14	4.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2)	3.18 ↑ (3.17)	4.03 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
48.4%

Draw
28.9%

Cartagena
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

28.8%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

29%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Ibiza - Cartagena Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ibiza will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Cartagena will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cartagena (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Cartagena (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Cartagena (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cartagena (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Paradowski T. (G) 17. Medina U. 21. Kembo Y. 18. Indias I. 22. Sola A. 14. Nsukula G. 24. Valls T. 12. Garcia D. 11. Castillo F. 19. Eslava J. 9. Davo	13. Garcia L. (G) 18. Perejon D. 5. Baz I. 23. Hernandez A. 22. Martinez N. 7. Rahmani Y. 8. De Blasis P. 11. Redondo L. 10. Larrea P. 3. Jimenez N. 9. Ortuno A.
Substitutes
7. Bebe 8. del Olmo I. 6. del Pozo D. 4. Monjonell E. 10. Svensson M. 25. Torrelavid C. (G)	14. Alcaniz E. 35. Cancela C. 37. Chatiliez W. 12. Ebro Cortina E. 16. Martin A. 1. Martinez I. (G) 21. Ramirez B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Valls T. ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, Eslava J. ⚽,
12', 🟨,
22', Martinez N. 🟨,
37', 2 - 1, Redondo L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hernandez A. ↓, Ebro Cortina E. ↑,
64', Jimenez N. ↓, Ramirez B. ↑,
65', Nsukula G. ↓, Svensson M. ↑,
65', Davo ↓, del Pozo D. ↑,
70', Larrea P. ↓, Alcaniz E. ↑,
82', Eslava J. ↓, Bebe ↑,
90', Valls T. ↓, Monjonell E. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 1, Bebe ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ibiza won 2.

In recent matches, Ibiza has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cartagena is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cartagena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ibiza might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ibiza won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1.4:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ibiza won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FC Cartagena SAD	6	3	2	1	9:4	5	11
9	UD Ibiza	6	3	0	3	8:8	0	9

Last Results with these Odds

Cartagena - the odds 3.57 are the expected chance of winning is 25.54%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.05.26	Hércules - Ibiza	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Ibiza - Atlético Sanluqueño	4:0 ✺
25.04.26	Villarreal B - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Ibiza - Sevilla B	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Ibiza - Juventud de Torremolinos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWTLW
- FC Cartagena
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.05.26	Cartagena - Alcorcón	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	Algeciras - Cartagena	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Cartagena - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Eldense - Cartagena	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Cartagena - Antequera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.01.26	Cartagena - Ibiza	1:4
Spanish LaLiga2
29.01.23	Ibiza - Cartagena	2:2
16.10.22	Cartagena - Ibiza	2:0
Club Friendly
26.07.22	Ibiza - Cartagena	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
12.02.22	Ibiza - Cartagena	2:1
10.10.21	Cartagena - Ibiza	5:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.04.19	Ibiza - Cartagena	1:0

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