Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 30

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Villarreal B		Fuenlabrada

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	4.75
	1.63	3.4	4.75
	1.68	3.55	4.9
	1.7	3.52	4.67	Watch
	1.72	3.46	4.99
	1.68	3.55	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.03)	3.48 ↑ (3.25)	4.83 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal B
54.7%

Draw
26.3%

Fuenlabrada
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

28.2%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

27.3%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villarreal B's performance.

Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fuenlabrada might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villarreal B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fuenlabrada could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Villarreal B - Fuenlabrada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez I. (G) 31. Gil F. 5. Sola A. 15. Joseda 4. Espigares A. 9. Valverde V. 11. Requena D. 8. Rodri (C) 23. Diatta A. 14. Etta Eyong 21. Slavy	1. Diaz L. (G) 17. Ouacharaf B. 20. Casas I. 14. Barbosa A. 6. Alvaro Garcia (C) 8. Ruiz Fer 16. Aguza S. 5. Alba D. 15. Moyano A. 3. Barbu 9. Omoigui C.
Substitutes
10. Geralnik T. 13. Gomez R. (G) 20. Ojeda T. 19. Quintero L. 34. Tamarit T. 16. Val B. 17. Valou J. 22. Viveros F.	13. Bloch F. (G) 23. Chang-Sang J. 19. Faure I. 10. Galindo A. 26. Garcia M. 21. Nene 12. Pinan A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Slavy ⚽,
38', Valverde V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Barbu ↓, Faure I. ↑,
51', 🟨,
60', Moyano A. ↓, Pinan A. ↑,
60', 🟨,
76', Barbosa A. ↓, Nene ↑,
76', Slavy ↓, Tamarit T. ↑,
87', 🟨,
89', 1 - 1, Omoigui C. ⚽,
90+2', Diatta A. ↓, Ojeda T. ↑,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 14).

Recent matches Villarreal B is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fuenlabrada is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fuenlabrada could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Villarreal B is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Villarreal B won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 0.7:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Villarreal B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.03.25	Alcorcón - Villarreal B	2:1 ✺
14.03.25	Villarreal B - Mérida AD	3:0 ✺
09.03.25	Marbella - Villarreal B	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	Villarreal B - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
21.02.25	Atlético Madrid B - Villarreal B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWLL
- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.03.25	Fuenlabrada - Sevilla B	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Real Murcia - Fuenlabrada	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Fuenlabrada - Algeciras	3:0 ✺
01.03.25	Betis B - Fuenlabrada	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Fuenlabrada - Intercity	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.01.25	Fuenlabrada - Villarreal B	0:0
Spanish Segunda Division B Losers Play Offs
10.06.18	Villarreal B - Fuenlabrada	2:0
02.06.18	Fuenlabrada - Villarreal B	0:0

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