Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 27

Date: 12 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)

Referee: Garcia V. (Esp)


	Ibiza		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.75	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.4
	2.2	3	3.65
	2.26	3.02	3.84
	2.19	3.13	3.56	Watch
	2.21	3.05	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.28)	3.02 ↓ (3.07)	3.63 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
42.8%

Draw
31.2%

Ponferradina
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

30.7%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

32%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.2%	29.4%	29.4%

Ibiza - Ponferradina Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Ibiza will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Ponferradina will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ibiza: 17.8% – 64.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Ibiza has the most likely position - 22 (43.31%), has project points - 36, has currently - 18, has a good chance of relegated (93%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Ponferradina has the most likely position - 19 (17.79%), has project points - 45, has currently - 27, has a chance of relegated (48%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 26, importance 38, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Ibiza is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ponferradina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ibiza will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ibiza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Ibiza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish LaLiga2
05.02.23	Lugo - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Ibiza - Cartagena	2:2 ✺
21.01.23	Granada - Ibiza	2:0 ✺
14.01.23	Ibiza - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
08.01.23	Eibar - Ibiza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTLLL
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish LaLiga2
05.02.23	Ponferradina - Racing Santander	1:1 ✺
30.01.23	Zaragoza - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
21.01.23	Ponferradina - Eibar	0:1 ✺
14.01.23	Tenerife - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
06.01.23	Ponferradina - Villarreal B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
22.08.22	Ponferradina - Ibiza	2:1
06.03.22	Ponferradina - Ibiza	1:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
15.12.21	Ponferradina - Ibiza	2:1 ET
Spanish LaLiga2
28.11.21	Ibiza - Ponferradina	0:1

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