Match Info

Date: 5 June 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar)

Referee: Pulido J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	CMore
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Eibar		Girona

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.25	3	3
	2.33	3.15	3.15
	2.37	3.1	3
	2.35	3.35	3.28
	2.3	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.32	3.26	3.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.3)	3.21 (3.21)	3.13 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eibar
40.7%

Draw
29.3%

Girona
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

29.2%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

29.6%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Eibar have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.4%	14.8%	14.8%

Eibar - Girona Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Eibar will win (votes: 19 - 70.4%). Girona will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 53.2% – 87.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.

Eibar has the most likely position - 3 (100%), has project points - 80, has currently - 80, has not chance of relegated, was already of prom. playoffs, has a chance of promoted (38%), has not chance of win league.

Girona has the most likely position - 6 (100%), has project points - 68, has currently - 68, has not chance of relegated, was already of prom. playoffs, has a small chance of promoted (15%), has not chance of win league.

This event has quality 38, very big importance 100, match rating 69. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Eibar won 5.

Recent matches Eibar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Girona is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Eibar won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Eibar won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
02.06.22	Girona - Eibar	0:1 ✺
29.05.22	Alcorcón - Eibar	1:0 ✺
21.05.22	Eibar - Tenerife	2:0 ✺
14.05.22	Leganés - Eibar	2:3 ✺
08.05.22	Eibar - Valladolid	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLWWL
- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga2
02.06.22	Girona - Eibar	0:1 ✺
29.05.22	Burgos - Girona	0:0 ✺
21.05.22	Girona - Mirandés	2:0 ✺
15.05.22	Sporting de Gijón - Girona	2:1 ✺
09.05.22	Girona - Tenerife	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
02.06.22	Girona - Eibar	0:1
19.02.22	Girona - Eibar	0:1
29.11.21	Eibar - Girona	4:2
Spanish LaLiga
03.02.19	Eibar - Girona	3:0
06.10.18	Girona - Eibar	2:3
05.05.18	Girona - Eibar	1:4
21.12.17	Eibar - Girona	4:1

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