The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ibiza 51.2%
Draw 27.5%
Lugo 21.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.3%
28.4%
27.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.4%
27.7%
26.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ibiza's performance.
Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lugo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ibiza that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
59.1%
13.6%
27.3%
Ibiza - Lugo Predictions
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Ibiza will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). Lugo will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ibiza: 38.6% – 79.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 18 and 16).
Ibiza has the most likely position - 20 (7.1%), has project points - 51, has currently - 7, has a chance of relegated (28%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Lugo has the most likely position - 22 (13.11%), has project points - 46, has currently - 8, has a chance of relegated (42%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality28, importance40, match rating34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Lugo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Ibiza is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Ibiza won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Ibiza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
Watch
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