Match Info

Date: 8 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas)

Referee: Gorostegui Fernandez A. (Esp)


	Las Palmas		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	1.7	4	4.75	Watch
	1.63	3.6	4.8
	1.65	3.7	5.4
	1.65	3.75	4.8
	1.69	3.94	5.22
				Watch
	1.64	3.8	5.35	Watch
	1.67	3.85	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.77)	3.81 ↑ (3.4)	5.03 ↑ (4.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
56.6%

Draw
24.7%

Ibiza
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

27.5%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

27.6%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	18.7%	18.7%

Las Palmas - Ibiza Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Ibiza will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 14).

Las Palmas has the most likely position - 1 (13.42%), has project points - 69, has currently - 16, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (34%), has a chance of promoted (34%), has a small chance of win league (13%).

Ibiza has the most likely position - 20 (6.62%), has project points - 52, has currently - 10, has a chance of relegated (25%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 34, importance 38, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Las Palmas is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Ibiza is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Las Palmas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Las Palmas is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Las Palmas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
01.10.22	Mirandés - Las Palmas	3:3 ✺
26.09.22	Las Palmas - Granada	2:0 ✺
18.09.22	Racing Santander - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
09.09.22	Las Palmas - Leganés	1:0 ✺
03.09.22	Deportivo Alavés - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWTWT
- UD Ibiza
Spanish LaLiga2
02.10.22	Ibiza - Lugo	3:2 ✺
23.09.22	Sporting de Gijón - Ibiza	2:1 ✺
17.09.22	Real Oviedo - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
11.09.22	Ibiza - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
04.09.22	Huesca - Ibiza	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
24.04.22	Ibiza - Las Palmas	1:1
11.09.21	Las Palmas - Ibiza	1:1

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