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Current Win Probability
Sakaryaspor 72.9%
Draw 16.3%
Hatayspor 10.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.7%
17.8%
12.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.2%
12.1%
18.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Hatayspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (-25.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sakaryaspor that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hatayspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
58.3%
8.3%
33.3%
Sakaryaspor - Hatayspor Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Sakaryaspor will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Hatayspor will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sakaryaspor: 30.4% – 86.2%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Szumski J. (G) 21. Yavuz S. 24. Dursun S. 4. Cakir B. 77. Erdogan E. 7. Demir M. 10. Kakuta G. 44. Vukovic J. 96. Kobiljar R. 54. Coban B. (C) 9. Zwolinski L.
34. Saricali D. (G) 17. Alici K. 15. Yilmaz B. 95. Buz Y. A. 31. Matur O. 6. Sarka B. 2. Corekci K. (C) 18. Durmushan U. 5. Saglam G. 30. Guler E. 61. Parmak A.
Substitutes
3. Acil O. 11. Akuazaoku U. 36. Altiparmak B. 12. Ben Yedder W. 5. Ciftpinar S. 8. Cihan M. 25. Demir A. 14. Demir E. 45. Kirkikoglu M. (G) 22. Okumus A.
66. Abdulkadir A. 9. Aksoy D. 13. Aksoy E. 33. Aydemir E. 98. Aydin S. M. 78. Daduk E. (G) 97. Sen M. 77. Uzel B. 20. Yildiz A.
Coaches
Sutlu S.
Alas G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Cakir B. 🟨,
17', Demir M. ↓, Demir E. ↑,
28', 1 - 0, Coban B. ⚽, Demir E. (A),
42', Saglam G. ↓, Aydin S. M. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Guler E. ↓, Aksoy E. ↑,
47', Aydin S. M. 🟨,
64', Dursun S. 🟨,
64', Kobiljar R. ↓, Altiparmak B. ↑,
64', Coban B. ↓, Akuazaoku U. ↑,
69', Alici K. 🟨,
70', Parmak A. ↓, Aksoy D. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Zwolinski L. ⚽, Erdogan E. (A),
75', 3 - 0, Vukovic J. ⚽, Kakuta G. (A),
76', Kakuta G. ↓, Ben Yedder W. ↑,
88', Alici K. ↓, Aydemir E. ↑,
90', Matur O. 🟨,
90', Matur O. 🟨,
90+1', Demir E. 🟨,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
Recent form of Sakaryaspor has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Hatayspor is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Sakaryaspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Sakaryaspor is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Bayram A.
(Suspended)
Kolovetsios D.
(Knee Injury)
Sanli B.
(Inactive)
Tekogul Y.
(Suspended)
Turken A.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Hatayspor: Demir C.
(Suspended)
Temel S.
(Suspended)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sakaryaspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.