Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 41

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday


	Ilkeston		Matlock Town

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	2.87
	2.05	3.65	2.95
	2.08	3.83	3.05
	2.09	3.84	3.06	Watch
	2.05	3.5	2.88
	2.05	3.56	3.03
	2.05	3.65	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.99)	3.65 ↑ (3.5)	2.97 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilkeston
44.3%

Draw
25%

Matlock Town
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

25.1%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

24.6%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilkeston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Matlock Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matlock Town than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Ilkeston - Matlock Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Walker J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 1 - 1, Gibson M. ⚽,
66', Stobbs J. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ilkeston won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Ilkeston will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Ilkeston won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 7:15 (average 0.5:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Ilkeston won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilkeston FC
English NPL Premier Division
19.04.25	Macclesfield Town - Ilkeston	4:0 ✺
12.04.25	Ilkeston - United of Manchester	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Hebburn Town - Ilkeston	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Ilkeston - Warrington Rylands	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Stockton Town - Ilkeston	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTWWL
- Matlock Town
English NPL Premier Division
19.04.25	Matlock Town - Worksop Town	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Hyde United - Matlock Town	0:4 ✺
05.04.25	Matlock Town - Morpeth Town	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Guiseley - Matlock Town	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Matlock Town - Blyth Spartans	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
26.12.24	Matlock Town - Ilkeston	4:0
01.04.24	Matlock Town - Ilkeston	1:2
26.12.23	Ilkeston - Matlock Town	0:1
02.01.17	Ilkeston - Matlock Town	0:1
29.08.16	Matlock Town - Ilkeston	0:0
28.12.15	Ilkeston - Matlock Town	0:1
31.08.15	Matlock Town - Ilkeston	1:0

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