Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 40

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday


	Macclesfield Town		Ilkeston

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.8	6.5
	1.38	4.7	6.2
	1.42	5.31	5.6
	1.43	4.98	6.14	Watch
	1.36	4.3	6.5
	1.42	4.73	6.55
	1.38	4.7	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.32)	4.79 ↓ (4.9)	6.24 ↓ (7.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Macclesfield Town
66.1%

Draw
19.2%

Ilkeston
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.6%

18.7%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.9%

17.6%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Macclesfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Ilkeston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Macclesfield Town than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Macclesfield Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Macclesfield Town - Ilkeston Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 0)
78', 1 - 0, Rooney J. ⚽,
82', 2 - 0, Bughail-Mellor D. ⚽,
89', 3 - 0, Elliott D. ⚽,
90+6', 4 - 0, Elliott D. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North and 6).

Macclesfield is Confirmed as championsnQualified for National League North

Macclesfield in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Ilkeston is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Macclesfield is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Macclesfield to win the game is with odds 1.35.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Macclesfield won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:5 (average 2.3:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Macclesfield won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Macclesfield Town
English NPL Premier Division
12.04.25	Guiseley - Macclesfield Town	0:3 ✺
05.04.25	Macclesfield Town - Workington	3:2 ✺
29.03.25	Blyth Spartans - Macclesfield Town	0:5 ✺
22.03.25	Macclesfield Town - Bamber Bridge	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Morpeth Town - Macclesfield Town	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWW
- Ilkeston FC
English NPL Premier Division
12.04.25	Ilkeston - United of Manchester	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Hebburn Town - Ilkeston	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Ilkeston - Warrington Rylands	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Stockton Town - Ilkeston	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Ilkeston - Lancaster City	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
20.08.24	Ilkeston - Macclesfield Town	1:1
17.02.24	Macclesfield Town - Ilkeston	5:3
26.09.23	Ilkeston - Macclesfield Town	1:1

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