Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 41

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Stocksbridge Park Steels		Ilkeston

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.35	2.18
	2.77	3.64	2.19
	2.83	3.76	2.22	Watch
	2.75	3.3	2.15
	2.8	3.48	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.42)	3.51 ↓ (3.66)	2.19 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stocksbridge Park Steels
32.5%

Draw
25.9%

Ilkeston
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

25.4%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

25.4%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stocksbridge Park Steels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stocksbridge Park Steels's form might have worsened.

Ilkeston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilkeston's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stocksbridge Park Steels than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stocksbridge Park Steels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilkeston, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Stocksbridge Park Steels - Ilkeston Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
83', Watson J. 🟥,
90+3', Parker S. 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Stocksbridge is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ilkeston has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ilkeston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ilkeston will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stocksbridge won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.6:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Stocksbridge won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 2.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
21	Ilkeston	12	2	1	9	7:26	-19	7

Last Results with these Odds

Ilkeston - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 36.27%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stocksbridge Park Steels
English NPL Premier Division
11.04.26	Warrington Rylands - Stocksbridge Park Steels	3:2 ✺
06.04.26	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Leek Town	0:2 ✺
02.04.26	Cleethorpes Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Ashton United	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Hednesford Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLLWT
- Ilkeston FC
English NPL Premier Division
11.04.26	Ilkeston - Bamber Bridge	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Rushall Olympic - Ilkeston	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Ilkeston - Warrington Town	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Prescot Cables - Ilkeston	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Ashton United - Ilkeston	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
22.11.25	Ilkeston - Stocksbridge Park Steels	0:1
English FA Trophy
17.11.15	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Ilkeston	3:2
14.11.15	Ilkeston - Stocksbridge Park Steels	1:1
English NPL Premier Division
24.02.14	Ilkeston - Stocksbridge Park Steels	6:1
05.10.13	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Ilkeston	2:3

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