Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 31

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday


	Illescas		Cacereño

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.2	1.91
	3.6	2.95	1.98
	3.7	3.1	1.98
	3.92	3.16	1.94	Watch
	3.75	3.34	1.99
	3.7	3.1	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (3.68)	3.14 ↓ (3.19)	1.96 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illescas
24.6%

Draw
29%

Cacereño
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

28.6%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

27.3%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illescas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Cacereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Illescas - Cacereño Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cacereño (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Sancho J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 1 - 1, Martin C. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Illescas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cacereño in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cacereño will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Illescas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Illescas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Illescas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.04.25	Talavera de la Reina - Illescas	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Illescas - CD Guadalajara	1:2 ✺
23.03.25	Melilla - Illescas	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Illescas - Atlético Paso	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Colonia Moscardó - Illescas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TLLWL
- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
06.04.25	Cacereño - Conquense	3:1 ✺
29.03.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Cacereño	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Cacereño - Unión Sur Yaiza	2:2 ✺
16.03.25	Real Madrid C - Cacereño	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Cacereño - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
30.11.24	Cacereño - Illescas	2:0
28.04.24	Illescas - Cacereño	0:0
17.12.23	Cacereño - Illescas	1:0

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