Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 2

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Veritas Stadion (Turku)

Referee: Al-Emara M. (Fin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	Onefootball


	Inter Turku		Ilves

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.22	3.35	3.25	Watch
	2.27	3.43	3.36
	2.28	3.32	3.2	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.2
	2.14	3.48	3.17	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.25)	3.34 ↑ (3.12)	3.21 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Turku
42.9%

Draw
28%

Ilves
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

30.1%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

28.8%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Turku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Turku than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Inter Turku - Ilves Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Inter Turku will win (votes: 8 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inter Turku: 55.2% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Ilves (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Inter Turku will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter Turku (votes: 3 - 75%). Ilves (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Huuhtanen E. (G) 21. Kangasniemi I. 22. Kuittinen L. 35. Kiiskila E. 2. Niska J. 5. Granlund A. (C) 4. Ahiabu P. 9. Tuominen J. 23. Essomba L. 27. Ulundu V. 11. Botue J.	12. Krkalic F. (G) 6. Raap Y. 4. Pettersson O. 5. Vaisanen S. (C) 3. Rale M. 13. Wallius K. 14. Popovitch A. 8. Stjopin M. 9. Hytonen T. 10. Riski Ro. 28. Kilo J.
Substitutes
10. Conteh A. 3. Hamalainen J. 26. Huovila V. 14. Laine J. 18. Saarinen S. 25. Salomaa H. 12. Vuorjoki E. (G) 8. Yli-Kokko J.	19. Bamba G. 17. Baranov S. 24. Kumpu V. 31. Leislahti R. (G) 16. Miettunen T. 23. Raymond A. 25. Suvanne S. 20. Tiitinen O.
Coaches
Vasara V.	Lehtonen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Riski Ro. (Penalty Awarded),
30', Riski Ro. 🟨,
32', Wallius K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', Tuominen J. ↓, Yli-Kokko J. ↑,
58', Botue J. ↓, Conteh A. ↑,
58', Ulundu V. ↓, Salomaa H. ↑,
60', Yli-Kokko J. 🟨,
63', Raap Y. ↓, Tiitinen O. ↑,
64', Riski Ro. ↓, Baranov S. ↑,
72', Kiiskila E. ↓, Laine J. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Conteh A. ⚽, Essomba L. (A),
90', Essomba L. ↓, Huovila V. ↑,
90', Vaisanen S. ↓, Miettunen T. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 1, Kangasniemi I. ⚽, Laine J. (A),
90+6', Kangasniemi I. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Turku won 4.

Inter Turku is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ilves has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

Inter Turku will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There are questionable in Ilves: Ala-Myllymaki L. (Injury) Virtanen O. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Inter Turku won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:20. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Inter Turku won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:9. (average 2.3:1).

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga for now

Inter Turku: 43.65%

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter Turku	26	13	10	3	32:18	14	49

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Turku
Finnish Veikkausliiga
04.04.26	Inter Turku - VPS Vaasa	0:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
21.03.26	Inter Turku - Oulu	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Inter Turku - Ilves	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
28.02.26	Inter Turku - FF Jaro	2:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
14.02.26	Inter Turku - Lahti	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWWWW
- FC Ilves
Finnish Veikkausliiga
04.04.26	Ilves - KuPS Kuopio	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Ilves - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
14.03.26	Inter Turku - Ilves	3:2 ✺
21.02.26	Ilves - Oulu	2:2 ✺
18.02.26	Ilves - SJK	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
14.03.26	Inter Turku - Ilves	3:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga
09.11.25	Inter Turku - Ilves	2:0
19.10.25	Ilves - Inter Turku	1:2
23.08.25	Ilves - Inter Turku	1:0
17.05.25	Inter Turku - Ilves	3:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
08.03.25	Ilves - Inter Turku	0:4
Finnish Veikkausliiga
12.06.24	Inter Turku - Ilves	0:2

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