Match Info

Veikkausliiga

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday

Location: Tammelan Stadion (Tampere)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	Onefootball


	Ilves		Haka

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.33	4.75	Watch
	1.44	4.75	6
	1.63	4.3	4.95	Watch
	1.66	4.4	5.05
	1.63	4.27	4.97	Watch
	1.4	4.5	6
	1.6	4.3	4.71	Watch
	1.64	4.35	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.44)	4.4 ↓ (4.95)	5.18 ↓ (6.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilves
60.1%

Draw
21.6%

Haka
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

19%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

18.3%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ilves's form might have worsened.

Haka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haka than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Ilves - Haka Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ilves will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Haka will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ilves: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ilves (votes: 1 - 50%). Haka (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Krkalic F. (G) 22. Maenpaa A. 5. Vaisanen S. 3. Rale M. 17. Soderback M. 14. Popovitch A. 7. Veteli J. 19. Jukkola O. 15. Ala-Myllymaki L. (C) 10. Riski Ro. 8. Stjopin M.	1. Hughes L. (G) 4. Houston J. 3. Friberg N. (C) 15. Almen M. 18. Mommo E. 6. Romero E. 10. Lucas Cini 19. Okyere A. 7. Da Sylva J. 8. Lindholm S. 9. Akintunde J.
Substitutes
27. Akinyemi A. 42. Aspegren F. 9. Hytonen T. 30. Kanga J. 24. Kumpu V. 16. Miettunen T. 88. Vaisanen R. 32. Vayrynen L. (G)	21. Jalasvaara A. 26. Lehtomaki A. 12. Lepola A. (G) 17. Multanen K. 64. Parfitt-Williams D. 30. Purosalo V. 99. Sejdiu A. 66. Selander R. 2. Talo N.
Coaches
Rantanen J.	Smith A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Soderback M. ⚽, Veteli J. (A),
35', Hughes L. 🟨,
36', 2 - 0, Riski Ro. (Pen),
41', 2 - 1, Lucas Cini ⚽, Houston J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Jukkola O. 🟨,
52', Lindholm S. 🟨,
58', Lucas Cini ↓, Sejdiu A. ↑,
70', Mommo E. 🟨,
74', Riski Ro. ↓, Akinyemi A. ↑,
74', Ala-Myllymaki L. ↓, Aspegren F. ↑,
80', Lindholm S. ↓, Multanen K. ↑,
80', Houston J. ↓, Purosalo V. ↑,
85', Stjopin M. ↓, Miettunen T. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Akintunde J. ⚽,
88', Da Sylva J. ↓, Selander R. ↑,
88', Okyere A. ↓, Parfitt-Williams D. ↑,
90', 3 - 2, Maenpaa A. ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Haka has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ilves is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:26. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ilves
Finnish Veikkausliiga
02.05.25	VPS Vaasa - Ilves	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	IFK Mariehamn - Ilves	3:2 ✺
19.04.25	KTP Kotka - Ilves	0:5 ✺
12.04.25	Ilves - FF Jaro	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Ilves - HJK	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWWW
- FC Haka
Finnish Veikkausliiga
02.05.25	Haka - FF Jaro	0:1 ✺
28.04.25	SJK - Haka	2:2 ✺
19.04.25	Haka - Oulu	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Haka - IFK Mariehamn	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Haka - Gnistan	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
14.09.24	Ilves - Haka	3:2
15.07.24	Haka - Ilves	4:3
17.05.24	Ilves - Haka	5:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
16.02.24	Ilves - Haka	2:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga
15.09.23	Haka - Ilves	2:2
04.08.23	Ilves - Haka	1:2
07.06.23	Haka - Ilves	1:1

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