Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 4

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: Lemonsoft Stadion (Vaasa)

Referee: Kontinen J. (Fin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	Onefootball


	VPS Vaasa		Ilves

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	1.9	Watch
	3.6	3.5	1.93
	3.55	3.45	1.98
	3.95	3.65	2.01
	3.83	3.65	1.93	Watch
	3.6	3.4	1.91
	3.77	3.45	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↓ (3.78)	3.5 ↓ (3.61)	1.94 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

VPS Vaasa
25%

Draw
26.8%

Ilves
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

26%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

26.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VPS Vaasa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	9.1%	81.8%

VPS Vaasa - Ilves Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ilves (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ilves will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Jalloh M. (G) 6. Okereke E. 23. Niemi M. (C) 5. Ronnberg V. 24. Daoussi Y. 8. Lima P. 2. Mane L. 14. Lindholm S. 7. Turfkruier J. 15. Smyth L. 11. Muzinga J.	12. Krkalic F. (G) 13. Wallius K. 4. Pettersson O. 24. Kumpu V. 3. Rale M. 14. Popovitch A. 30. Kanga J. (C) 8. Stjopin M. 20. Tiitinen O. 9. Hytonen T. 10. Riski Ro.
Substitutes
10. Ali J. 18. Arrakoski A. 26. Forsbacka R. 35. Keturi O. 27. Kouassivi-Benissan K. 33. Kuek A. 34. Raisanen A. 30. Vahtera J. 12. Vayrynen L. (G)	19. Bamba G. 17. Baranov S. 28. Kilo J. 31. Leislahti R. (G) 16. Miettunen T. 22. Multala O. 6. Raap Y. 23. Raymond A. 25. Suvanne S.
Coaches
Nuorela J.	Lehtonen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Ronnberg V. ⚽,
4', Krkalic F. 🟨,
24', Riski Ro. ↓, Kilo J. ↑,
27', 2 - 0, Muzinga J. ⚽,
31', Smyth L. 🟨,
45+2', 3 - 0, Lindholm S. ⚽, Turfkruier J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Tiitinen O. ↓, Multala O. ↑,
49', Ronnberg V. 🟨,
49', Pettersson O. 🟨,
50', 3 - 1, Kanga J. (Penalty Awarded),
53', Lindholm S. 🟨,
61', 3 - 2, Multala O. ⚽,
63', Smyth L. ↓, Ali J. ↑,
63', Lindholm S. ↓, Raisanen A. ↑,
79', Muzinga J. ↓, Kouassivi-Benissan K. ↑,
83', Stjopin M. ↓, Baranov S. ↑,
83', Wallius K. ↓, Bamba G. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, VPS won 1.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, Ilves is considered a favorite.

There will not play in VPS: Haukioja M. (Red Card) Ogunniyi O. (Red Card)

There are questionable in VPS: van Duivenbooden S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Ilves: Ala-Myllymaki L. (Injury) Vaisanen S. (Injury) Virtanen O. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, VPS won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:31. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, VPS won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.9:1.2).

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga for now

VPS: 0.49%

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	VPS	26	10	6	10	30:31	-1	36

Last Results with these Odds

Ilves - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 49.14%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VPS Vaasa
Finnish Veikkausliiga
18.04.26	Oulu - VPS Vaasa	1:0 ✺
10.04.26	VPS Vaasa - FF Jaro	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Inter Turku - VPS Vaasa	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	VPS Vaasa - Haka	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	VPS Vaasa - Sundsvall	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTTTL
- FC Ilves
Finnish Veikkausliiga
18.04.26	IFK Mariehamn - Ilves	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Inter Turku - Ilves	3:2 ✺
04.04.26	Ilves - KuPS Kuopio	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Ilves - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
14.03.26	Inter Turku - Ilves	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
07.02.26	VPS Vaasa - Ilves	1:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga
14.07.25	Ilves - VPS Vaasa	3:2
02.05.25	VPS Vaasa - Ilves	1:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
15.02.25	Ilves - VPS Vaasa	1:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga
04.10.24	VPS Vaasa - Ilves	0:2
21.07.24	Ilves - VPS Vaasa	3:2
07.06.24	VPS Vaasa - Ilves	1:1

Upcoming Matches