Match Info

FINLAND: SUOMEN CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 31 May 2023, Wednesday

Location: Ratina Stadion (Tampere)


	Ilves		KaPa

	1	X	2
	1.17	6.25	11.5
	1.17	6	13
	1.19	5.33	9.86
	1.14	5.5	13
	1.17	6.8	13.5
	1.18	6.2	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.35)	6.01 ↑ (4.43)	12.14 ↑ (6.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilves
77.5%

Draw
15.1%

KaPa
7.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

20.2%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

19.7%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ilves's performance.

KaPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KaPa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilves that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KaPa than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KaPa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Ilves - KaPa Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ilves will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). KaPa will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Virtanen O. (G) 15. Ala-Myllymaki L. (C) 6. Arifi D. 42. Aspegren F. 21. Bushara B. 23. Hasa N. 7. James Ngor S. 19. Jukkola O. 5. Katz K. 22. Maenpaa A. 13. N'Diaye S.	21. Piispa A. (G) 8. Forsman P. 14. Hietalahti P. 4. Huhtala R. 23. Karsama I. 16. Lappalainen I. 17. Lonnqvist C. 12. Pulkkinen M. 29. Salmi J. 11. Tammivuori S. 9. Yokochi T.
Substitutes
29. Haarala S. 25. Kyllonen L. 10. Larsson A. 16. Miettunen T. 30. Moussa Y. 8. Pennanen P. 12. Viitala J. (G)	3. Heikurinen N. 28. Kekarainen J. 92. Lokake N. 1. Nokelainen L. (G) 80. Rekola B. 2. Simojoki K. 10. Soderback M.

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Ilves is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ilves
Finnish Veikkausliiga
26.05.23	VPS Vaasa - Ilves	0:2 ✺
21.05.23	Ilves - HJK	1:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
17.05.23	Nokian Palloseura - Ilves	1:5 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
13.05.23	SJK - Ilves	1:0 ✺
05.05.23	Ilves - Oulu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTWLL
- KaPa
Finnish Ykkonen
26.05.23	KaPa - HIFK	0:2 ✺
20.05.23	JJK Jyväskylä - KaPa	1:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
17.05.23	TuPS - KaPa	0:7 ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
12.05.23	KaPa - Salon Palloilijat	2:3 ✺
06.05.23	SJK Akatemia - KaPa	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWLL

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