Match Info

Kansallinen Liiga Women - Championship Group

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Tammelan Stadion (Tampere)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Ilves		HJK

	1	X	2
	7.75	5.50	1.26
	6.1	4.8	1.33
	5.4	4.95	1.38
	6.51	5.44	1.32	Watch
	5.3	4.9	1.36
	5.91	4.62	1.44
	6.25	4.7	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.17 ↓ (9)	4.99 ↓ (5.8)	1.35 ↑ (1.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilves
14.7%

Draw
18.2%

HJK
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.9%

15.3%

74.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HJK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Ilves - HJK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Maki-Kamppi V. (G) 21. Ahonen H. 7. Heinonen I. 3. Italinna E. 10. Jantti C. 11. Lahteenmaki L. 56. Lilja T. 22. Olmala H. 4. Pirila R. 18. Pulkkinen E. 14. Rasinen A. (C)	12. Laihanen A. (G) 30. Bethea L. 24. Eranka S. 15. Forsten A. 35. Kalske N. 71. Kamogawa M. 27. Kiviranta M. 13. Lassas M. (C) 4. Sarelius U. 44. Tivnan J. 18. Ylatalo I.
Substitutes
20. Fomenko W. 41. Jamsa M. 19. Kallio I. 1. Korpi J. (G) 8. Ljesnjanin A. 13. Luotonen A.	25. Forsstrom S. (G) 11. Heroum N. 17. Holmstrom I. 2. Karvonen N. 3. Lahikainen A. 7. Rantanen A. 16. Sarkki J. 8. Suomela R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
17', 0 - 1, Eranka S. ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, (Own goal),
37', 1 - 2, Pulkkinen E. ⚽, Rasinen A. (A),
45', 1 - 3, Kiviranta M. ⚽, Bethea L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Heinonen I. ↓, Luotonen A. ↑,
46', Pirila R. ↓, Kallio I. ↑,
48', Forsten A. 🟨,
62', Lahteenmaki L. ↓, Ljesnjanin A. ↑,
66', 1 - 4, Ylatalo I. ⚽,
70', 1 - 5, Kalske N. ⚽,
73', Bethea L. ↓, Suomela R. ↑,
73', Forsten A. ↓, Holmstrom I. ↑,
76', 2 - 5, Ljesnjanin A. ⚽,
78', Rasinen A. ↓, Fomenko W. ↑,
82', Ylatalo I. ↓, Rantanen A. ↑,
83', Kiviranta M. ↓, Sarkki J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 0.

Ilves is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

HJK is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

HJK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, HJK is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 19 matches, and goals 10:56. (average 0.5:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:24. (average 0.9:3).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	HJK W	22	18	1	3	62:21	41	55
5	Ilves W	22	8	2	12	39:45	-6	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ilves Women
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
29.08.26	HPS - Ilves	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	KuPS - Ilves	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Ilves - Gnistan	1:2 ✺
25.07.26	HPS - Ilves	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Ilves - Gnistan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLLWT
- HJK Helsinki Women
Finnish Cup Women
06.09.26	HPS - HJK	1:3 AET ✺
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
29.08.26	HJK - Åland United	2:1 ✺
21.08.26	HPS - HJK	3:3 ✺
17.08.26	HJK - KuPS	0:1 ✺
12.08.26	Gnistan - HJK	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
27.06.26	Ilves - HJK	1:3
25.04.26	HJK - Ilves	2:1
31.07.24	Ilves - HJK	1:2
12.05.24	HJK - Ilves	1:0
29.07.23	Ilves - HJK	0:5
06.05.23	HJK - Ilves	4:0
20.08.22	HJK - Ilves	3:0

Ilves - HJK: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide