Match Info

JAPAN: J3 LEAGUE - ROUND 6

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Imabari		Giravanz Kitakyushu

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.4	4.2
	1.72	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.84	3.35	4.43
	1.85	3.35	4.43
	1.65	3.4	4.33
	1.74	3.35	4.47	Watch
	1.71	3.5	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.44)	3.41 ↓ (3.75)	4.37 ↓ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imabari
52.3%

Draw
26.8%

Giravanz Kitakyushu
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

23.5%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

21.6%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imabari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Imabari's form might have worsened.

Giravanz Kitakyushu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Giravanz Kitakyushu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imabari than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Imabari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Giravanz Kitakyushu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Ito G. (G) 23. Matsumoto Y. 5. Shirai T. 3. Fukumori N. 2. Kato T. 18. Arai H. 50. Mikado Y. 6. Moschion T. 7. Yamada T. 10. Indio 29. Rodrigo	27. Tanaka Y. (G) 23. Sakamoto K. 50. Sugiyama K. 13. Kudo K. 33. Inui T. 34. Takayoshi S. 11. Kiyama K. 17. Okano R. 15. Kobayashi R. 21. Ushinohama T. 29. Koh S.
Substitutes
4. Ichihara R. 9. Kondo T. 25. Kusumi K. 11. Sakano T. 1. Shugyo T. (G) 24. Takeuchi Y. 36. Yokoyama Y.	4. Hasegawa K. 7. Hirahara R. 14. Izawa H. 10. Nagai R. 31. Otani K. (G) 8. Wakaya T. 22. Yamawaki K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Shirai T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Okano R. ⚽, Sakamoto K. (A),
55', Rodrigo ↓, Sakano T. ↑,
65', Mikado Y. ↓, Kondo T. ↑,
65', Yamada T. ↓, Yokoyama Y. ↑,
67', Kudo K. 🟨,
68', Kobayashi R. ↓, Wakaya T. ↑,
68', Koh S. ↓, Nagai R. ↑,
69', Sakano T. 🟨,
75', Ushinohama T. 🟨,
80', Ushinohama T. ↓, Hirahara R. ↑,
81', Matsumoto Y. ↓, Ichihara R. ↑,
90+3', Okano R. ↓, Hasegawa K. ↑,

Preview

Imabari is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Giravanz is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Imabari could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Giravanz have a series of home games.

In this match Imabari is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Imabari to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Imabari won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Imabari won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Imabari
Japan J3 League
20.03.24	Imabari - Gifu	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	YSCC - Imabari	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Imabari - Azul Claro Numazu	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Zweigen Kanazawa - Imabari	1:3 ✺
24.02.24	Imabari - Gainare Tottori	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWWWW
- Giravanz Kitakyushu
Japan J3 League
20.03.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Osaka	0:0 ✺
16.03.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
06.03.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Oita Trinita	1:0 ET ✺
Japan J3 League
02.03.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Grulla Morioka	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Sagamihara	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
02.09.23	Imabari - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0
26.03.23	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Imabari	0:1
04.09.22	Imabari - Giravanz Kitakyushu	2:3
03.04.22	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Imabari	3:0

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