Match Info

J2 League - Round 13

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Arigato Service Dream (Imabari)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Imabari		Júbilo Iwata

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.7	3.75	Watch
	1.88	3.25	3.5
	1.91	3.5	3.7	Watch
	1.95	3.66	3.98
	1.93	3.58	3.75	Watch
	1.95	3.2	3.6
	1.91	3.71	3.61	Watch
	1.91	3.5	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.17)	3.51 ↓ (3.58)	3.7 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imabari
48.5%

Draw
26.4%

Júbilo Iwata
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

25.9%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

25.1%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imabari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Imabari's performance.

Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Júbilo Iwata might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imabari than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Júbilo Iwata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Imabari - Júbilo Iwata Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Iwata (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Iwata (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tachikawa K. (G) 16. Omori R. 5. Danilo Cardoso 2. Kato T. 7. Yamada T. 37. Umeki R. 18. Arai H. 17. Mochii K. 9. Kondo T. 10. Marcus Vinicius 11. Tanque W.	21. Miura R. (G) 38. Kawaguchi N. 5. Ezaki T. 36. Ricardo Graca 8. Tameda H. 25. Nakamura S. 7. Uehara R. 39. Sumi K. 23. Croux J. 9. Watanabe R. 2. Kawasaki I.
Substitutes
13. Fujioka K. 21. Hino T. 4. Ichihara R. 44. Ito G. (G) 33. Sasa S. 24. Takeuchi Y. 20. Vinicius Diniz 36. Yokoyama Y. 14. Yuba K.	6. Kaneko D. 33. Kawai T. 1. Kawashima E. (G) 16. Leo Gomes 71. Masui K. 11. Matheus Peixoto 4. Matsubara K. 3. Morioka R. 20. Sato R.
Coaches
Kuraishi K.	Hutchinson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
25', 0 - 1, Sumi K. ⚽, Watanabe R. (A),
32', Danilo Cardoso 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 2, Kawasaki I. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Mochii K. ↓, Yokoyama Y. ↑,
46', Umeki R. ↓, Yuba K. ↑,
50', Tanque W. ↓, Vinicius Diniz ↑,
52', 1 - 2, Yokoyama Y. ⚽, Yamada T. (A),
53', Omori R. 🟨,
53', Miura R. 🟨,
56', 1 - 3, Watanabe R. ⚽, Croux J. (A),
59', 2 - 3, Vinicius Diniz ⚽, Yuba K. (A),
61', 3 - 3, Yokoyama Y. ⚽,
65', Kawaguchi N. ↓, Matsubara K. ↑,
65', Nakamura S. ↓, Kaneko D. ↑,
65', Kawasaki I. ↓, Masui K. ↑,
75', Arai H. ↓, Sasa S. ↑,
75', Watanabe R. ↓, Matheus Peixoto ↑,
82', Sumi K. ↓, Sato R. ↑,
83', Yamada T. ↓, Hino T. ↑,
87', Marcus Vinicius 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: ) and 9).

Imabari has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Iwata has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Imabari may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Iwata has had a series of home games.

Imabari could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Imabari
Japan J2 League
29.04.25	Mito HollyHock - Imabari	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Imabari	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Imabari - Omiya Ardija	0:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
16.04.25	Imabari - Cerezo Osaka	3:4 ET ✺
Japan J2 League
12.04.25	Vegalta Sendai - Imabari	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWTLT
- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J2 League
29.04.25	Júbilo Iwata - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:1 ✺
25.04.25	Júbilo Iwata - Oita Trinita	0:3 ✺
20.04.25	Blaublitz Akita - Júbilo Iwata	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Júbilo Iwata - Roasso Kumamoto	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
09.04.25	Júbilo Iwata - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLTW

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