Match Info

YBC Levain Cup - First stage - 1/32-finals

Date: 16 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Arigato Service Dream (Imabari)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	Fuji TV Two


	Imabari		Cerezo Osaka

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.6	1.75	Watch
	3.3	3.1	1.98
	4.1	3.55	1.84	Watch
	4.41	3.65	1.81
	4.39	3.67	1.77	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2.05
	4.47	3.71	1.81	Watch
	4.1	3.55	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↑ (3.18)	3.49 ↑ (3.22)	1.86 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imabari
23%

Draw
26.7%

Cerezo Osaka
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

29%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

29.6%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imabari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Imabari's form might have worsened.

Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cerezo Osaka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imabari than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Imabari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cerezo Osaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Imabari - Cerezo Osaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Imabari (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Imabari (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Ito G. (G) 22. Saitai Y. 3. Fukumori N. 24. Takeuchi Y. 20. Vinicius Diniz 4. Ichihara R. 50. Mikado Y. 33. Sasa S. 14. Yuba K. 13. Fujioka K. 21. Hino T.	21. Kim Jin-Hyeon (G) 17. Sakata R. 33. Nishio R. 14. Funaki K. 22. Takahashi N. 5. Kida H. 55. Vitor Bueno 8. Kagawa S. 24. Wonggorn J. 7. Uejo S. 48. Shibayama M.
Substitutes
15. Abe R. 10. Marcus Vinicius 16. Omori R. 25. Sato R. 11. Tanque W. 47. Ueda S. (G) 37. Umeki R. 7. Yamada T. 36. Yokoyama Y.	77. Fernandes L. 1. Fukui K. (G) 29. Furuyama K. 38. Kitano S. 13. Nakajima M. 16. Okuda H. 9. Rafael Ratao 3. Shindo R. 10. Tanaka S.
Coaches
Kuraishi K.	Papastamatis A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Vitor Bueno ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, Wonggorn J. ⚽,
28', Vinicius Diniz 🟨,
32', 1 - 2, Takeuchi Y. ⚽,
34', 2 - 2, Fujioka K. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Vinicius Diniz ↓, Yamada T. ↑,
48', 3 - 2, Hino T. ⚽,
59', Fujioka K. ↓, Marcus Vinicius ↑,
59', Mikado Y. ↓, Sato R. ↑,
69', Hino T. ↓, Yokoyama Y. ↑,
71', Marcus Vinicius 🟨,
74', Uejo S. ↓, Rafael Ratao ↑,
74', Sakata R. ↓, Okuda H. ↑,
74', Wonggorn J. ↓, Fernandes L. ↑,
77', Yuba K. ↓, Umeki R. ↑,
80', 3 - 3, Kagawa S. (Pen),
90', Shibayama M. ↓, Kitano S. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
91', Takeuchi Y. ↓, Omori R. ↑,
96', Kida H. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
96', Vitor Bueno ↓, Nakajima M. ↑,
107', Tanaka S. 🟨,
119', 3 - 4, Okuda H. ⚽,

Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

Cerezo Osaka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cerezo Osaka will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Imabari
Japan J2 League
12.04.25	Vegalta Sendai - Imabari	0:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
09.04.25	Imabari - Tokushima Vortis	2:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
06.04.25	Imabari - V-Varen Nagasaki	4:1 ✺
30.03.25	Imabari - Montedio Yamagata	2:2 ✺
23.03.25	Iwaki - Imabari	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWWTW
- Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League
12.04.25	Cerezo Osaka - Kashima Antlers	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka	2:1 ✺
02.04.25	Cerezo Osaka - Fagiano Okayama	2:1 ✺
28.03.25	Cerezo Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
20.03.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Cerezo Osaka	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWTW

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